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Wed 11 Nov

Goals · Wednesday 11 November 2026

Under 3.5 Goals Predictions today

Wednesday 11 November: 92 under 3.5 goals picks with an average chance of 66%. Top of the list: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka – Under 3.5 goals at 82%. So far today: 17 won · 14 lost.

Games unlikely to break past three goals. Strongest first – tap any match for the full analysis.

Top 10 under 3.5 goals picks

Bangladesh2

Sri Lanka0 143%2.10X23%2.90233%3.40 1.0–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.25

Fenix 140%2.57X28%2.39232%3.18 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.18

Cameroon U23 116%3.54X54%3.14230%1.97 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.18

Platense Res.

Deportivo Riestra Res. 131%3.45X22%3.08247%1.97 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20

Talleres Córdoba Res.

Sarmiento Res. 168%1.58X21%3.64211%4.99 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22

Instituto Res.

San Lorenzo Res. 142%2.26X24%2.94235%2.94 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.21

Burkina Faso U23

Zambia U23 159%1.84X24%3.28217%3.84 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.21

Castellonense

La Nucía 143%2.50X24%2.90233%2.62 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.22

Ontinyent 1931

Utiel 167%1.43X20%3.78213%6.30 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.27

FK Jablonec 116%3.75X25%3.30259%1.90 0.7–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.36

More under 3.5 goals picks

BelgiumFirst Amateur Division1 matchTable ›

Habay-la-Neuve0 133%2.70X21%3.24246%2.26 1.2–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.36

EuropeUEFA U19 Championship Qualification10 matchesTable ›

Republic of Ireland U190

Greece U190 149%1.95X21%3.50230%3.62 1.6–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.26

Finland U19 137%2.27X21%3.55242%2.83 1.3–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.37

Norway U19 169%1.51X20%4.40210%5.40 2.1–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.59

Romania U190 169%1.46X20%4.10211%6.85 2.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.24

Czechia U192

Netherlands U190 118%4.20X18%4.05264%1.70 0.9–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.54

Kazakhstan U19

Scotland U19 138%2.80X21%3.55241%2.29 1.7–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.36

Faroe Islands U19 178%1.12X16%8.1026%16.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 60%@1.86

Austria U19

Belarus U19 169%1.23X18%5.80214%11.25 2.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.47

Portugal U19

Lithuania U19 173%1.03X17%13.25211%30.00 2.1–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 57%@2.15

Germany U19

Sweden U19 167%1.48X18%4.50216%5.65 2.6–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 54%@1.57

WorldCAF U23 Cup Of Nations3 matchesTable ›

Eswatini U23

Algeria U23 17%12.30X17%5.85276%1.17 0.4–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.52

Zimbabwe U23

Mali U23 125%2.26X52%3.41222%2.58 1.6–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.26

South Sudan U230

Senegal U230 113%14.50X15%6.21271%1.12 0.8–2.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.40

PolandIII Liga Group 31 matchTable ›

Barycz Sułów

Miedź Legnica II 138%2.30X21%3.44242%2.52 1.6–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 57%@1.62

WorldCAF Women's Champions League1 matchTable ›

Mamelodi Sundowns W

Kawempe Muslim W 164%1.34X21%4.25215%7.10 1.9–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.30

SlovakiaCup1 matchTable ›

Podbrezová

Zlaté Moravce 169%1.18X20%5.60211%10.50 2.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 59%@1.77

Turkey3. Lig Group 31 matchTable ›

Silifke Belediyespor

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 117%3.62X21%3.44262%1.80 0.9–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.38

FranceFeminine Division 11 matchTable ›

FC Fleury 91 W

Toulouse W 163%1.53X24%3.80213%5.00 2.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 55%@1.57

Lithuania1 Lyga1 matchTable ›

Minija 141%2.97X21%3.28238%2.14 1.4–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.31

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 112 matchesTable ›

Inter Ibiza 171%1.11X17%6.25212%17.25 2.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.46

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

Arenal 180%1.01X15%10.2025%28.00 2.7–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 52%@2.06

CameroonElite One1 matchTable ›

Victoria United 173%1.18X17%5.05210%13.00 2.1–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.26

WorldUEFA Europa Cup Women5 matchesTable ›

Rosenborg W 147%2.12X21%3.30232%2.88 1.7–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.32

Eintracht Frankfurt W

PSVEindhoven W 164%1.32X21%4.75215%6.50 1.9–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.62

Malmö FF W

Ajax W 147%2.26X20%3.58234%2.56 1.7–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.44

Torreense W

Sparta Praha W 166%1.44X19%4.10215%5.45 2.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.39

Czarni Sosnowiec W

Brann W 18%8.60X21%5.55270%1.21 0.9–2.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 54%@1.72

FranceNational 2 Group C1 matchTable ›

Saint-Priest

Rumilly Vallières 121%3.20X21%3.40258%1.95 1.2–2.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 59%@1.50

EuropeUEFA Champions League Women2 matchesTable ›

OH Leuven W

Køge W 115%4.75X24%4.10261%1.65 1.0–2.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.40

SL Benfica W

Austria Wien W 161%1.60X20%4.33219%5.00 2.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.62

ArgentinaReserve League4 matchesTable ›

Defensa y Justicia Res. 133%2.86X22%3.16245%2.19 1.2–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.29

Banfield Res.

Racing Club Res. 122%3.32X18%3.36259%1.91 0.9–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.32

Atl. Rafaela 2

Belgrano Córdoba Res. 132%3.18X22%3.20246%2.07 1.3–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.30

Independiente Res.

Lanús Res. 145%2.09X22%3.20233%3.02 1.7–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.40

BrazilPernambucano U201 matchTable ›

Sport Recife U20 138%2.15X21%3.28241%2.84 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.33

WorldPremier League International Cup1 matchTable ›

West Ham United U21

Juventus U21 164%1.78X19%3.58217%3.58 2.0–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.55

EnglandEFL Trophy1 matchTable ›

Sheffield Wednesday

Accrington ST 164%1.70X20%3.70216%4.10 2.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 53%@1.80

SpainSegunda División RFEF Group 33 matchesTable ›

Valencia II 152%2.10X22%3.20226%3.00 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.30

Elche II 166%1.44X23%3.80211%6.00 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.37

Castellón II

Deportiva Minera 142%2.45X22%3.20236%2.50 1.5–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.46

Finished

ColombiaCopa Colombia2 matchesTable ›

Internacional de Bogota1

America de Cali2 134%2.84X23%3.04243%2.47 1.3–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.20 ✓

Once Caldas1

Atletico Nacional1 135%2.44X24%2.90240%3.02 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.21 ✓

UruguayCopa Uruguay1 matchTable ›

Liverpool Montevideo1

Juventud1 Pens 0–3 147%2.10X21%3.40232%3.10 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

WorldFriendlies2 matchesTable ›

Sint Maarten5

Anguilla1 177%1.16X14%10.0029%17.50 2.1–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@2.14 ✗

Vietnam U191 165%1.54X19%3.72215%5.23 1.9–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.31 ✗

MexicoLiga MX Femenil2 matchesTable ›

Pumas UNAM W2

Tigres UANL W3 125%3.30X16%4.10259%1.75 1.4–2.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 50%@1.83 ✗

Guadalajara W0 140%2.00X22%3.10238%3.40 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

El-SalvadorPrimera Division1 matchTable ›

Isidro Metapán2

Platense1 166%1.73X23%3.34211%4.32 2.0–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.35 ✓

UkrainePersha Liga1 matchTable ›

Inhulets 158%1.79X21%3.45222%3.65 1.7–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.31

AsiaSAFF Championship1 matchTable ›

Maldives0 173%1.13X19%6.7529%12.20 2.7–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 53%@1.62 ✓

Turkey3. Lig Group 13 matchesTable ›

Kartal Bulvarspor0 159%1.80X24%3.32217%3.76 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.23 ✓

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor1

Fatsa Belediyespor0 131%2.80X22%3.20247%2.21 1.2–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.24 ✓

Beykoz Anadolu1

Yalova Yeşilovaspor5 162%1.52X19%3.70220%5.15 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.27 ✗

Turkey3. Lig Group 23 matchesTable ›

Balıkesirspor2 120%4.60X19%3.74261%1.57 1.0–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.26 ✓

Nilüfer Belediye1 164%1.90X15%3.55221%3.18 1.8–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Gaziemirspor3

Akşehirspor1 164%1.38X19%4.20217%6.25 2.0–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.44 ✗

Turkey3. Lig Group 31 matchTable ›

Adana Adaletgucu2

Karaköprü Belediyespor2 115%3.60X21%3.58265%1.77 1.0–2.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.35 ✗

JapanJ League Cup4 matchesTable ›

Kawasaki Frontale1

Kashiwa Reysol2 144%2.70X16%3.60239%2.10 1.9–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 55%@1.62 ✓

Vissel Kobe0

Machida Zelvia1 134%2.25X18%3.20248%2.80 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Yokohama F. Marinos2

Kashima3 131%2.55X17%3.50252%2.25 1.5–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.44 ✗

Cerezo Osaka0 160%1.83X20%3.50221%3.40 2.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 57%@1.53 ✓

Today's under 3.5 goals picks: today's figures

92 matches on Wednesday 11 November qualify for this market today, averaging 66%. The strongest still to play is Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka (SAFF Championship): Under 3.5 goals at 82%, priced at 1.25. Most picks come from Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (18), Argentina Reserve League (7), CAF U23 Cup Of Nations (6). 11 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Under 3.5 goals explained

Under 3.5 goals wins when there are three goals or fewer in the match.

Most football matches finish with three goals or fewer, so this is a short-priced market – usually 1.25 to 1.50 – with a fairly high strike rate.

Where under 3.5 goals makes sense

We list games where neither side is expected to run riot: moderate expected goals and at least one disciplined defence.

Checklist

Avoid games with a very strong favourite against a very weak defence – four goals can come quickly.
Good as a steady leg in a short accumulator.
Check whether either team has conceded four or more recently.

Where these chances come from

Each percentage is read from the ZoraTips score grid, built from our nightly team ratings and expected goals, with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. If a bookmaker pays more than our fair price (100 ÷ the percentage), the pick carries value too. The full method is on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.

Frequently asked questions

How often do matches have under 3.5 goals?

Roughly 65–75% of games in most leagues.

Does 2–1 win under 3.5?

Yes – that is three goals.

How do you pick under 3.5 goals tips?

Every match is rated by our model and blended with the bookmakers' prices. For this page we show the under 3.5 goals outcome for each match, ordered by our chance – the strongest first.

What does the percentage mean?

It is our chance of the pick winning. Compare it with the bookmaker price: a pick at 70% has fair odds of 1.43, so any price above that offers value.

Are these tips graded?

Yes. Every pick is marked ✓ or ✗ on the 90-minute score once the match ends, and yesterday's results stay on the Yesterday tab.