Thu 12 Nov

Ferro 2 v Defensa y Justicia Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina

Ferro 2

DDLLD
0–2
FT
Ferro 2 33%Draw 22%Defensa y Justicia Res. 45% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.52
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultDefensa y Justicia Res. to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03

Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res. prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Ferro 2 host Defensa y Justicia Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 11 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT. Ferro 2 sit 36th with 8 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Defensa y Justicia Res. are 23rd on 19 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Ferro 2 – form over the last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Defensa y Justicia Res. – form over the last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors Res. 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 8 Jun 2026, finished Defensa y Justicia Res. 2–1 Ferro 2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ferro 2 1.2 – 1.5 Defensa y Justicia Res. in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ferro 2 33% · draw 22% · Defensa y Justicia Res. 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.63.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ferro 2 1–1 Defensa y Justicia Res.. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ferro 233%fair 3.05 · @2.89
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.22
Defensa y Justicia Res.45%fair 2.20 · @2.15
2.76Expected goals
1.24Ferro 2 xG
1.52Defensa y Justicia Res. xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Ferro 2 1.2 – 1.5 Defensa y Justicia Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDefensa y Justicia Res. to win ✓45%2.202.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.63
Draw no betDefensa y Justicia Res. (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapFerro 2 +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreDefensa y Justicia Res. to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Defensa y Justicia Res. / FT Defensa y Justicia Res. ✓26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.03–

Recent results

Ferro 2 – last 6

DDLLDL
5 Nov@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20–0D
29 Octvs Huracán Res.0–0D
21 Octvs Colón Res.0–1L
15 Oct@ Boca Juniors Res.0–1L
7 Octvs Independiente Res.0–0D
29 Sep@ Atl. Rafaela 22–3L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Defensa y Justicia Res. – last 6

LLDWDL
5 Novvs Boca Juniors Res.0–2L
27 Oct@ Independiente Res.1–4L
20 Octvs Atl. Rafaela 21–1D
14 Oct@ Platense Res.1–0W
6 Octvs Quilmes 21–1D
29 Sep@ Estudiantes La Plata Res0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Jun 2026Defensa y Justicia Res. v Ferro 22–1
Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

On our numbers Ferro 2 have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Defensa y Justicia Res. 45%.

How many goals will there be in Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

Our predicted score is Ferro 2 1–1 Defensa y Justicia Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.