Liverpool at Anfield are formidable. Their season-average xG of 2.4 per home game is the highest in the Premier League and Tottenham — who generate just 0.9 xG away from home — have no realistic chance of shutting them out. The Poisson model gave Liverpool a 64% win probability, above the bookmaker's implied 61.7%. Liverpool won 3-1. Tip landed.
Key FactorsBTTS tipped at 1.80 with a model probability of 68%. Man Utd scored in the 34th minute and Newcastle equalised before half time, before scoring a late winner. Both teams scored — tip landed at 1.80.
Key FactorsAtletico win 2-0. Valencia created virtually nothing — 0.4 xG on the night. Our 61% model probability proved accurate. Tip landed comfortably.
Key FactorsDerby matches can produce unexpected tactical restraint even between high-xG sides. Porto and Benfica produced 2.8 combined xG on the night — more than enough for three goals in any other context — but the game finished 1-1. A good model call that did not land. Logged as a loss.
Key FactorsDortmund win 2-1 at Signal Iduna Park. Frankfurt scored a late consolation but the result was never in real doubt. Double Chance 1X landed at 1.40.
Key FactorsNapoli 2-1 Roma. Three goals confirmed, tip landed at 1.72. The combined xG of 2.9 on the night matched our model expectation closely. Moderate confidence justified.
Key FactorsAthens derby ended 1-1. The DNB stake is returned on a draw — no profit, no loss. This is why we use DNB in volatile derby fixtures rather than the straight home win. Stake returned.
Key FactorsPSG 4-0 Lens. Over 1.5 landed before half time. This is exactly the kind of high-confidence anchor that justifies inclusion in an accumulator — near-certain outcome, consistent with 18 months of data.
Key FactorsFull results for Monday, 06 Apr 2026 — every tip documented, wins and losses published equally. Full archive →
ZoraTips published 8 tips on 06 April 2026 across 7 leagues. 6 tips won, 1 lost and 1 were voided by a draw (DNB market). Day hit rate: 86%. Day profit/loss: +2.34u.
Every tip ZoraTips publishes — won or lost — is documented here. We do not hide losses or retroactively adjust our tips once matches have kicked off. The yesterday's football results page is updated automatically each morning and shows the complete picture of the previous day's card.
After results are confirmed we review each tip against the pre-match Poisson model to check whether the outcome was consistent with the predicted probability. A lost tip does not automatically mean the model was wrong — a team rated at 60% wins 60% of the time, not every time. What matters is whether the process was sound, not whether any single tip landed. Where a tip loses despite a strong pre-match case, we log this and factor it into ongoing model calibration.
Each result card shows the original tip, the final score, the closing odds and the profit or loss in units. We use a flat one-unit stake model for all published tips — this makes results comparable across different odds levels. Won tips show profit in units (e.g. odds of 1.80 returns +0.80u). Lost tips are always -1.00u. Void results — Draw No Bet tips when the match ends level — show 0.00u and the stake is returned. Click any card to open the full pre-match analysis popup. Nothing is edited after the fact.
On 06 April 2026 ZoraTips posted a hit rate of 86% from 7 settled tips (1 void excluded). The day P&L across all tips using a flat 1u stake was +2.34u. For the full historical record, visit our results archive.
Yesterday's results are not a guarantee of future performance. Football betting involves genuine risk. Always set a weekly budget in advance and never chase losses. If gambling is causing you concern, please visit BeGambleAware.org or read our responsible gambling guide.
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