Thu 12 Nov

Independiente Res. v Lanús Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
1–1
FT
Independiente Res. 45%Draw 22%Lanús Res. 33% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.39
63%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✗45% · @2.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Reserve League action on Wednesday 11 November: Independiente Res. take on Lanús Res. from 19:00 WAT. Independiente Res. sit 1st with 38 points from 17 games (top of the table), while Lanús Res. are 2nd on 37 (in the top four). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Independiente Res. – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Newell's Old Boys Res. 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Lanús Res. – form over the last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Atl. Rafaela 2 4–2 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 3.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 9 Jun 2026, finished Lanús Res. 0–4 Independiente Res..

Goals outlook

Our model projects Independiente Res. 1.7 – 1.4 Lanús Res. in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Independiente Res. 45% · draw 22% · Lanús Res. 33%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Independiente Res. 1–1 Lanús Res.. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Independiente Res.45%fair 2.21 · @2.09
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Lanús Res.33%fair 3.05 · @3.02
3.07Expected goals
1.68Independiente Res. xG
1.39Lanús Res. xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Independiente Res. 1.7 – 1.4 Lanús Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Res. to win ✗45%2.212.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.55
Draw no betIndependiente Res. (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapLanús Res. +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreIndependiente Res. to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res. ✗27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Independiente Res. – last 6

DWWWDW
3 Nov@ Newell's Old Boys Res.2–2D
27 Octvs Defensa y Justicia Res.4–1W
20 Oct@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22–1W
13 Octvs Huracán Res.3–0W
7 Oct@ Ferro 20–0D
1 Octvs Boca Juniors Res.2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lanús Res. – last 6

WWWDWW
3 Novvs Atl. Rafaela 24–2W
27 Oct@ Platense Res.3–1W
21 Octvs Quilmes 24–1W
14 Oct@ Estudiantes La Plata Res4–4D
8 Octvs Central Córdoba SdE Res.3–0W
1 Oct@ San Martín San Juan Res.2–0W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jun 2026Lanús Res. v Independiente Res.0–4
Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lanús Res. 33%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 1–1 Lanús Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.