Wed 11 Nov
Result · Wednesday 11 November 2026

Home Win Predictions today

Wednesday 11 November: 47 home wins picks with an average chance of 67%. Top of the list: Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 vs San Marino U19 – Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 to win at 81%. So far today: 6 won · 1 lost.

Hosts our ratings expect to take all three points. Strongest first – tap any match for the full analysis.

Top 10 home wins picks

More home wins picks

WorldCAF Women's Champions League2 matchesTable ›

Turkey3. Lig Group 11 matchTable ›

Turkey3. Lig Group 22 matchesTable ›

WorldFriendlies1 matchTable ›

EuropeUEFA U19 Championship Qualification5 matchesTable ›

SlovakiaCup1 matchTable ›

FranceFeminine Division 11 matchTable ›

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 111 matchTable ›

WorldUEFA Europa Cup Women2 matchesTable ›

WorldCAF U23 Cup Of Nations1 matchTable ›

SpainSegunda División RFEF Group 32 matchesTable ›

EnglandWSL Cup3 matchesTable ›

EnglandEFL Trophy2 matchesTable ›

WorldPremier League International Cup1 matchTable ›

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 61 matchTable ›

ArgentinaReserve League1 matchTable ›

EuropeUEFA Champions League Women1 matchTable ›

BrazilSerie B1 matchTable ›

Finished

WorldFriendlies1 matchTable ›

El-SalvadorPrimera Division1 matchTable ›

UkrainePersha Liga1 matchTable ›

AsiaSAFF Championship1 matchTable ›

Turkey3. Lig Group 11 matchTable ›

JapanJ League Cup1 matchTable ›

EuropeUEFA U19 Championship Qualification2 matchesTable ›

Today's home wins picks: today's figures

47 matches on Wednesday 11 November qualify for this market today, averaging 67%. The strongest still to play is Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 vs San Marino U19 (UEFA U19 Championship Qualification): Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 to win at 81%, priced at 1.03. Most picks come from Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (11), England WSL Cup (4), Friendlies (3). 16 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Home wins explained

This page lists the home teams our numbers expect to win – the "1" in 1X2 – where the chance is at least 50%.

The home side must be ahead after 90 minutes. A draw or an away win loses the bet. Home advantage is real, but smaller than many think: in most leagues hosts win under half their games.

Where home wins makes sense

The strongest home picks combine a big rating gap, a team that scores freely at home and a visitor with a poor away record. Long trips and short turnarounds for the away side help too.

Checklist

  • Look at home form only – overall form can hide a weak home record.
  • Prices under 1.30 often hide more risk than they pay for.
  • Pair a strong home pick with over 1.5 goals rather than another favourite.

Where these chances come from

Each percentage is read from the ZoraTips score grid, built from our nightly team ratings and expected goals, with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. If a bookmaker pays more than our fair price (100 ÷ the percentage), the pick carries value too. The full method is on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.

Frequently asked questions

How often do home teams win in football?

Across most leagues, between 42% and 47% of matches end in a home win.

Why do some strong home teams still draw?

Opponents often defend deep away from home, which turns games into low-scoring draws.

How do you pick home wins tips?

Every match is rated by our model and blended with the bookmakers' prices. For this page we show the home wins outcome for each match, ordered by our chance – the strongest first.

What does the percentage mean?

It is our chance of the pick winning. Compare it with the bookmaker price: a pick at 70% has fair odds of 1.43, so any price above that offers value.

Are these tips graded?

Yes. Every pick is marked ✓ or ✗ on the 90-minute score once the match ends, and yesterday's results stay on the Yesterday tab.