India 73%Draw 19%Maldives 9%Expected goals 2.68 – 0.94
67%
ZoraTips pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.19 – our chance 53% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndia to win ✓73% · @1.13
Double chanceIndia or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.19
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
India vs Maldives prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
India host Maldives in the SAFF Championship on Wednesday 11 November, kicking off at 10:30 WAT at Bangabandhu National Stadium. India sit 2nd with 3 points from 1 games, while Maldives are 3rd on 0. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
India – form over the last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Uruguay 1–6 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Maldives – form over the last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Lebanon 0–6 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects India 2.7 – 0.9 Maldives in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 67% likely and both teams score 53% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: India 73% · draw 19% · Maldives 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.19.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.19 – we make it 53%, the price implies 46%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: India 2–1 Maldives. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
India73%fair 1.38 · @1.13
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @6.75
Maldives9%fair 11.19 · @12.20
3.62Expected goals
2.68India xG
0.94Maldives xG
53%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: India 2.7 – 0.9 Maldives expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
India to win✓
73%
1.38
1.13
Double chance
India or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.19 ▲
Draw no bet
India (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
India -1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
First team to score
India to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
India ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT India / FT India✓
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
India – last 6
LLDDLL
6 Oct
vs Uruguay
1–6
L
3 Oct
vs Brazil
0–4
L
25 Sep
vs Panama
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Tajikistan
1–1
D
5 Jun
@ Tajikistan
1–3
L
27 May
@ Jamaica
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maldives – last 6
LLLDLW
1 Oct
vs Lebanon
0–6
L
28 Sep
@ Kyrgyzstan
0–5
L
24 Sep
@ China
0–3
L
7 Jun
vs Bangladesh U23
1–1
D
4 Jun
vs Pakistan
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Timor-Leste
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between India and Maldives.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win India vs Maldives?
On our numbers India have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maldives 9%.
How many goals will there be in India vs Maldives?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for India vs Maldives?
Our predicted score is India 2–1 Maldives, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is India vs Maldives?
India vs Maldives (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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