It is Barnsley v Oldham in the EFL Trophy – Wednesday 11 November, 20:00 WAT, Oakwell Ground. Barnsley sit 2nd with 3 points from 3 games, while Oldham are 4th on 0. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Barnsley – form over the last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Aldershot Town 7–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Oldham – form over the last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.
On form, Oldham have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Barnsley 2.7 – 1.6 Oldham in expected goals – roughly 4.3 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 78% for over 2.5 goals, 70% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Barnsley 60% · draw 18% · Oldham 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.33.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barnsley 2–1 Oldham. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Barnsley60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.75
Oldham21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
4.30Expected goals
2.68Barnsley xG
1.61Oldham xG
70%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Barnsley 2.7 – 1.6 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnsley to win✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Draw no bet
Barnsley (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Barnsley -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.50
First team to score
Barnsley to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Barnsley ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnsley / FT Barnsley✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.65
–
Recent results
Barnsley – last 6
WDLLLL
7 Nov
vs Aldershot Town
7–2
W
31 Oct
vs Oxford United
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Reading
1–2
L
20 Oct
@ Luton
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Cambridge United
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Stockport County
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oldham – last 6
DWLDLW
8 Nov
vs Sheffield Wednesday
1–1
D
3 Nov
@ Northampton
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Crawley Town
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Barnet
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Walsall
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Cheltenham
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Oldham.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barnsley vs Oldham?
On our numbers Barnsley have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Oldham 21%.
How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Oldham?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnsley vs Oldham?
Our predicted score is Barnsley 2–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Barnsley vs Oldham?
Barnsley vs Oldham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell Ground.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sheffield Wednesday0
Accrington ST4