Thu 12 Nov

Chernihiv v Inhulets: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine · Chernihiv Arena
Postponed
Chernihiv 58%Draw 21%Inhulets 22% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.90
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.23

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultChernihiv to win58% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.38

Chernihiv vs Inhulets prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Chernihiv host Inhulets in the Persha Liga on Wednesday 11 November, kicking off at 10:30 WAT at Chernihiv Arena. Chernihiv sit 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Inhulets are 10th on 18 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Chernihiv – form over the last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Yarud Mariupol' 3–1 at home. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Inhulets – form over the last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Kulykiv 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Chernihiv have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Chernihiv 1–2 Inhulets.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Chernihiv 1.7 – 0.9 Inhulets in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Chernihiv 58% · draw 21% · Inhulets 22%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Chernihiv 1–1 Inhulets. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Chernihiv58%fair 1.73 · @1.79
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.45
Inhulets22%fair 4.59 · @3.65
2.58Expected goals
1.68Chernihiv xG
0.90Inhulets xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Chernihiv 1.7 – 0.9 Inhulets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChernihiv to win58%1.731.79
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.811.70
Draw no betChernihiv (draw no bet)73%1.38–
Asian handicapInhulets +1.5 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.971.87
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.401.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.171.08
First team to scoreChernihiv to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chernihiv / FT Chernihiv34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.38–

Recent results

Chernihiv – last 6

WLLWWL
1 Novvs Yarud Mariupol'3–1W
29 Octvs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–2L
17 Oct@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–2L
11 Oct@ Prykarpattia1–0W
6 Oct@ Trostianets4–2W
2 Oct@ SK Poltava2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Inhulets – last 6

DLWLLL
6 Novvs Kulykiv1–1D
31 Oct@ Lokomotiv Kyiv1–2L
25 Octvs Kolos Kovalivka II2–0W
17 Oct@ Yarud Mariupol'1–4L
10 Octvs Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1L
3 Oct@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Chernihiv v Inhulets1–2
Chernihiv vs Inhulets head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chernihiv vs Inhulets?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Chernihiv vs Inhulets?

On our numbers Chernihiv have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inhulets 22%.

How many goals will there be in Chernihiv vs Inhulets?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chernihiv vs Inhulets?

Our predicted score is Chernihiv 1–1 Inhulets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Chernihiv vs Inhulets?

Chernihiv vs Inhulets (Persha Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Chernihiv Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.