Home Win Predictions yesterday

Yesterday's home wins picks: today's figures

42 matches on Tuesday 10 November qualify for this market today, averaging 66%. Most picks come from England EFL Trophy (9), Algeria Ligue 2 (4), England Non League Premier Isthmian (4). 15 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Home wins explained

This page lists the home teams our numbers expect to win – the "1" in 1X2 – where the chance is at least 50%.

The home side must be ahead after 90 minutes. A draw or an away win loses the bet. Home advantage is real, but smaller than many think: in most leagues hosts win under half their games.

Where home wins makes sense

The strongest home picks combine a big rating gap, a team that scores freely at home and a visitor with a poor away record. Long trips and short turnarounds for the away side help too.

Checklist

• Look at home form only – overall form can hide a weak home record.
• Prices under 1.30 often hide more risk than they pay for.
• Pair a strong home pick with over 1.5 goals rather than another favourite.

Where these chances come from

Each percentage is read from the ZoraTips score grid, built from our nightly team ratings and expected goals, with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. If a bookmaker pays more than our fair price (100 ÷ the percentage), the pick carries value too. The full method is on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.