Wed 11 Nov

Chapulineros v Cordobés: numbers & prediction

·
1–1
FT
Chapulineros 64%Draw 20%Cordobés 16% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.82
84%
ZoraTips pick

Chapulineros or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Chapulineros to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultChapulineros to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceChapulineros or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Chapulineros vs Cordobés prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Chapulineros host Cordobés in the on Tuesday 10 November, kicking off at 03:05 WAT.

Form guide

Chapulineros – form over the last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Lobos ULMX 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.

Cordobés – form over the last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Jaguares de Chiapas 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Chapulineros have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Chapulineros 1.9 – 0.8 Cordobés in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Chapulineros 64% · draw 20% · Cordobés 16%.
  • Safer play: Chapulineros or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Chapulineros to win at 1.83 – we make it 64%, the price implies 55%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Chapulineros or draw, rated at 84% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chapulineros 1–0 Cordobés. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Chapulineros64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.46
Cordobés16%fair 6.40 · @3.48
2.75Expected goals
1.93Chapulineros xG
0.82Cordobés xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: Chapulineros 1.9 – 0.8 Cordobés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChapulineros to win ✗64%1.571.83 ▲
Double chanceChapulineros or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.62
Draw no betChapulineros (draw no bet)80%1.24–
Asian handicapChapulineros -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreChapulineros to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultChapulineros ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chapulineros / FT Chapulineros ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Chapulineros – last 6

DWWWLD
1 Nov@ Lobos ULMX1–1D
24 Octvs Tritons Vallarta2–1W
17 Octvs Montañeses2–1W
4 Oct@ Tapachula3–2W
26 Sepvs Pioneros de Cancún1–3L
20 Sep@ Inter Playa del Carmen0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cordobés – last 6

DLLWLL
1 Novvs Jaguares de Chiapas2–2D
25 Oct@ Celaya1–2L
18 Oct@ Lobos ULMX0–2L
10 Octvs Tigres de Alica1–0W
26 Sepvs Zacatepec 19480–1L
11 Sepvs Reboceros La Piedad1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chapulineros and Cordobés.

Chapulineros vs Cordobés head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chapulineros vs Cordobés?

Our pick is Chapulineros or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chapulineros vs Cordobés?

On our numbers Chapulineros have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cordobés 16%.

How many goals will there be in Chapulineros vs Cordobés?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chapulineros vs Cordobés?

Our predicted score is Chapulineros 1–0 Cordobés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chapulineros vs Cordobés?

Chapulineros vs Cordobés () kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 03:05 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.