Thu 12 Nov

Aurora v Universitario de Vinto: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Felix Capriles

Aurora

WDWLL
1–1
FT
Aurora 58%Draw 21%Universitario de Vinto 21% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.10
79%
ZoraTips pick

Aurora or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAurora to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Aurora host Universitario de Vinto in the Primera División on Tuesday 10 November, kicking off at 01:30 WAT at Felix Capriles. Aurora sit 6th with 36 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Universitario de Vinto are 14th on 22 (in the bottom three). A 14-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Aurora – form over the last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Independiente Petrolero 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Universitario de Vinto – form over the last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Always Ready 1–3 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.7 per game.

On form, Aurora have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, finished Aurora 4–2 Universitario de Vinto. Across the last 3 meetings Aurora have won 2s, Universitario de Vinto 0, with 1 draw, averaging 3.7 goals, with both sides scoring 3 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Aurora 2.0 – 1.1 Universitario de Vinto in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Aurora 58% · draw 21% · Universitario de Vinto 21%.
  • Safer play: Aurora or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Aurora or draw, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aurora 1–1 Universitario de Vinto. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Aurora58%fair 1.73 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.70
Universitario de Vinto21%fair 4.74 · @4.00
3.07Expected goals
1.96Aurora xG
1.10Universitario de Vinto xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Aurora 2.0 – 1.1 Universitario de Vinto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAurora to win ✗58%1.731.73
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.53
Draw no betAurora (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapUniversitario de Vinto +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
First team to scoreAurora to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultAurora ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aurora / FT Aurora ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Aurora – last 6

WDWLLD
4 Novvs Independiente Petrolero3–2W
31 Oct@ Oriente Petrolero1–1D
25 Octvs Real Tomayapo1–0W
21 Oct@ Independiente Petrolero0–4L
17 Oct@ Real Oruro0–1L
11 Octvs Nacional Potosí2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universitario de Vinto – last 6

LLWLLL
2 Novvs Always Ready1–3L
27 Oct@ Bolívar1–2L
17 Octvs San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1W
10 Octvs Real Oruro1–3L
8 Oct@ Oriente Petrolero0–2L
4 Oct@ The Strongest2–5L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Sep 2026Aurora v Universitario de Vinto4–2
2 Sep 2026Universitario de Vinto v Aurora1–1
2 Jun 2026Universitario de Vinto v Aurora1–2
Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

Our pick is Aurora or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

On our numbers Aurora have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Universitario de Vinto 21%.

How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Universitario de Vinto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Felix Capriles.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.