Goals · Tuesday 10 November 2026

Over 4.5 Goals Predictions yesterday

Tuesday 10 November: 3 over 4.5 goals picks with an average chance of 61%. Most come from the Mongolia Premier League. So far : 2 won · 1 lost.

The rare goal-fests – five or more in the numbers. Strongest first – tap any match for the full analysis.

Results

Yesterday's over 4.5 goals picks: today's figures

3 matches on Tuesday 10 November qualify for this market today, averaging 61%. Most picks come from Mongolia Premier League (1), Brazil Paraense U20 (1), Spain Copa Del Rey (1).

Over 4.5 goals explained

Over 4.5 goals needs five or more goals in the match – 3–2, 4–1, 5–0 and anything bigger. Under 4.5 is the opposite: four goals or fewer.

A 3–1 loses an over 4.5 ticket; one more goal from either side and it wins. Because five-goal games are uncommon – roughly one in seven or eight across most leagues – the over price usually sits between 3.50 and 7.00.

Where over 4.5 goals makes sense

We only list a game here when both expected-goal numbers are high: a strong attack against a leaky defence, and an opponent able to score back. Mismatches where only one team scores tend to stop at three or four.

Checklist

Treat over 4.5 as a small-stake bet – even our best spots lose more often than they win.
Over 3.5 at a lower price is the safer cousin of this market.
Late kick-offs in high-scoring leagues (Netherlands, Germany, Norway) produce the most five-goal games.

Where these chances come from

Each percentage is read from the ZoraTips score grid, built from our nightly team ratings and expected goals, with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. If a bookmaker pays more than our fair price (100 ÷ the percentage), the pick carries value too. The full method is on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.

Frequently asked questions

How often do football matches have five or more goals?

In most top leagues, between 10% and 15% of games. Some high-scoring leagues are closer to 20%.

Does over 4.5 include extra time?

No. Only goals in normal time, including stoppage time, count.

How do you pick over 4.5 goals tips?

Every match is rated by our model and blended with the bookmakers' prices. For this page we show the over 4.5 goals outcome for each match, ordered by our chance – the strongest first.

What does the percentage mean?

It is our chance of the pick winning. Compare it with the bookmaker price: a pick at 70% has fair odds of 1.43, so any price above that offers value.

Are these tips graded?

Yes. Every pick is marked ✓ or ✗ on the 90-minute score once the match ends, and yesterday's results stay on the Yesterday tab.