Wed 11 Nov

Envigado v Popayan: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Polideportivo Sur
2–0
FT

Popayan

WDWLL
Envigado 68%Draw 22%Popayan 10% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.58
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.24Odds

Picks by market

ResultEnvigado to win ✓68% · @1.43
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16

Envigado vs Popayan prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Envigado v Popayan in the Primera B – Tuesday 10 November, 21:30 WAT, Estadio Polideportivo Sur. Envigado sit 1st with 7 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Popayan are 2nd on 7 (in the top four). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Envigado – form over the last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Popayan 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.2 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Popayan – form over the last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Envigado 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Envigado have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 6 Nov 2026, finished Popayan 1–0 Envigado. Across the last 3 meetings Envigado have won 1, Popayan 1, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Envigado 1.9 – 0.6 Popayan in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 48% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Envigado 68% · draw 22% · Popayan 10%.
  • Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Envigado 1–0 Popayan. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Envigado68%fair 1.48 · @1.43
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.54
Popayan10%fair 9.71 · @7.30
2.44Expected goals
1.86Envigado xG
0.58Popayan xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Envigado 1.9 – 0.6 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEnvigado to win ✓68%1.481.43
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓90%1.111.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.53
Draw no betEnvigado (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapEnvigado -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.05
First team to scoreEnvigado to score first ✓70%1.44–
Half-time resultEnvigado ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Envigado / FT Envigado ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.16–

Recent results

Envigado – last 6

LWWWDD
6 Nov@ Popayan0–1L
29 Octvs Ind. Yumbo2–0W
24 Oct@ Patriotas2–0W
20 Octvs Barranquilla1–0W
15 Octvs Real Santander1–1D
11 Octvs Internacional Palmira1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Popayan – last 6

WDWLLL
6 Novvs Envigado1–0W
29 Octvs Union Magdalena1–1D
24 Octvs Internacional Palmira2–1W
20 Oct@ Ind. Yumbo0–3L
16 Octvs Depor FC0–1L
12 Oct@ Orsomarso0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Nov 2026Popayan v Envigado1–0
6 Sep 2026Popayan v Envigado2–2
5 Mar 2026Envigado v Popayan1–0
Envigado vs Popayan head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Envigado vs Popayan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Envigado vs Popayan?

On our numbers Envigado have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Popayan 10%.

How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Popayan?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Popayan?

Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Envigado vs Popayan?

Envigado vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.