Wed 11 Nov

Plymouth v Swindon Town: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Home Park

Plymouth

WDWLL
2–1
FT

Swindon Town

LWDWD
Plymouth 67%Draw 17%Swindon Town 16% Expected goals 2.49 – 1.15
70%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.69

Plymouth vs Swindon Town prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Plymouth v Swindon Town in the EFL Trophy – Tuesday 10 November, 20:00 WAT, Home Park. Plymouth sit 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, while Swindon Town are 1st on 6. The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Plymouth – form over the last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Alvechurch 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.

Swindon Town – form over the last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Plymouth 2.5 – 1.1 Swindon Town in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 70% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Plymouth 67% · draw 17% · Swindon Town 16%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Plymouth 2–1 Swindon Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Plymouth67%fair 1.50 · @1.33
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @5.25
Swindon Town16%fair 6.25 · @6.25
3.64Expected goals
2.49Plymouth xG
1.15Swindon Town xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Plymouth 2.5 – 1.1 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth to win ✓67%1.501.33
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.67 ▲
Draw no betPlymouth (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapPlymouth -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.441.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
First team to scorePlymouth to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultPlymouth ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.69–

Recent results

Plymouth – last 6

WDWLLW
7 Novvs Alvechurch4–0W
31 Octvs Reading0–0D
24 Oct@ Cambridge United3–2W
20 Oct@ Stevenage0–3L
17 Octvs Huddersfield0–2L
10 Octvs AFC Wimbledon2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

LWDWDL
7 Nov@ Milton Keynes Dons1–2L
31 Octvs Rotherham2–1W
24 Oct@ Bristol Rovers0–0D
20 Oct@ Barnet3–1W
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
10 Octvs Crewe0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Swindon Town.

Plymouth vs Swindon Town head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers3300+28
2Plymouth3201+56
3Cheltenham3102-32
4Tottenham Hotspur U213003-42

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Crewe1 Wigan2 141%2.20X22%3.25237%2.88 1.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Mansfield Town3 Chesterfield5 142%2.05X18%4.00240%2.62 2.0–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.6–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 132%2.45X19%3.90249%2.25 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Nottingham Forest U213 166%1.73X15%3.90220%3.60 2.4–1.2xG 1Grimsby to win 66%@1.73 ✗
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00219%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Oxford United4 Cheltenham0 169%1.22X20%6.00211%8.50 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2528%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Plymouth have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Swindon Town 16%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Our predicted score is Plymouth 2–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Plymouth vs Swindon Town (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.