Wed 11 Nov

Crewe v Wigan: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Alexandra Stadium

Crewe

WDLLW
1–2
FT

Wigan

WDWLL
Crewe 41%Draw 22%Wigan 37% Expected goals 1.92 – 1.82
84%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCrewe to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.55

Crewe vs Wigan prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Crewe host Wigan in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 10 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Alexandra Stadium. Crewe sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Wigan are 4th on 1.

Form guide

Crewe – form over the last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat AFC Wimbledon 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.

Wigan – form over the last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Boreham Wood 3–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Crewe have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Crewe 1.9 – 1.8 Wigan in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 64% for over 2.5 goals, 64% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Crewe 41% · draw 22% · Wigan 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 – we make it 64%, the price implies 59%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 84% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Crewe 1–1 Wigan. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Crewe41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Wigan37%fair 2.69 · @2.88
3.74Expected goals
1.92Crewe xG
1.82Wigan xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Crewe 1.9 – 1.8 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCrewe to win ✗41%2.442.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.62
Draw no betCrewe (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapWigan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.201.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.771.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.361.17
First team to scoreCrewe to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Crewe / FT Crewe ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.55–

Recent results

Crewe – last 6

WDLLWW
7 Novvs AFC Wimbledon2–1W
31 Octvs Barnet1–1D
24 Oct@ Chesterfield1–5L
20 Oct@ Exeter City0–2L
17 Octvs Rochdale3–2W
10 Oct@ Swindon Town1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wigan – last 6

WDWLLL
7 Nov@ Boreham Wood3–0W
3 Novvs Mansfield Town0–0D
31 Octvs Bromley3–2W
27 Oct@ Leicester0–3L
24 Oct@ Huddersfield1–2L
20 Oct@ Oxford United1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Wigan.

Crewe vs Wigan head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City3300+69
2Stockport County320105
3Wolves U213102-33
4Wigan3003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Mansfield Town3 Chesterfield5 142%2.05X18%4.00240%2.62 2.0–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.6–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 132%2.45X19%3.90249%2.25 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Nottingham Forest U213 166%1.73X15%3.90220%3.60 2.4–1.2xG 1Grimsby to win 66%@1.73 ✗
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00219%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Oxford United4 Cheltenham0 169%1.22X20%6.00211%8.50 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2528%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage2 Fulham U212 Pens 4–3 165%1.33X20%5.00215%6.25 3.0–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Wigan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Crewe vs Wigan?

On our numbers Crewe have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wigan 37%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Wigan?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Wigan?

Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Wigan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Crewe vs Wigan?

Crewe vs Wigan (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.