Burton Albion v Notts County: numbers & prediction

Burton Albion vs Notts County prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

EFL Trophy action on Tuesday 10 November: Burton Albion take on Notts County at Pirelli Stadium from 20:00 WAT. Burton Albion sit 3rd with 3 points from 3 games, while Notts County are 4th on 3. The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Burton Albion – form over the last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game.

Notts County – form over the last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Altrincham 2–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Notts County have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, finished Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Burton Albion 1.3 – 1.7 Notts County in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Burton Albion 32% · draw 19% · Notts County 49%.
• Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
• Value angle: Notts County to win at 2.25 – we make it 49%, the price implies 44%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Burton Albion 1–1 Notts County. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.