Oxford United v Cheltenham: numbers & prediction

Oxford United vs Cheltenham prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Oxford United host Cheltenham in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 10 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Kassam Stadium.

Form guide

Oxford United – form over the last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Stevenage 0–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They score 1.0 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Cheltenham – form over the last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat FC Halifax Town 2–0 at home. They score 1.8 and concede 1.8 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Oxford United 2.8 – 1.1 Cheltenham in expected goals – roughly 3.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Oxford United 69% · draw 20% · Cheltenham 11%.
• Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.80.
• Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – we make it 61%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Oxford United 2–1 Cheltenham. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.