Wed 11 Nov

Gloucester City v Malvern Town: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Gloucester City 67%Draw 21%Malvern Town 12% Expected goals 2.48 – 1.03
67%
ZoraTips pick

Gloucester City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultGloucester City to win ✓67% · @1.42
Double chanceGloucester City or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Gloucester City vs Malvern Town prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Non League Premier Southern South action on Tuesday 10 November: Gloucester City take on Malvern Town from 20:45 WAT. Gloucester City sit 19th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Malvern Town are 21st on 14 (in the bottom three). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Gloucester City – form over the last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Yate Town 1–1 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Malvern Town – form over the last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Havant & Wville 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.2 per game.

On form, Malvern Town have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 22 Sep 2026, finished Malvern Town 5–2 Gloucester City.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Gloucester City 2.5 – 1.0 Malvern Town in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Gloucester City 67% · draw 21% · Malvern Town 12%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.52.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Gloucester City to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Gloucester City 2–1 Malvern Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Gloucester City67%fair 1.49 · @1.42
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.25
Malvern Town12%fair 8.41 · @5.50
3.51Expected goals
2.48Gloucester City xG
1.03Malvern Town xG
61%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Gloucester City 2.5 – 1.0 Malvern Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGloucester City to win ✓67%1.491.42
Double chanceGloucester City or draw ✓88%1.131.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.52
Draw no betGloucester City (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapGloucester City -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.831.64
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.371.23
First team to scoreGloucester City to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultGloucester City ahead at half-time ✗51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gloucester City / FT Gloucester City ✗46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Gloucester City – last 6

DDLDLD
7 Nov@ Yate Town1–1D
31 Octvs Berkhamsted2–2D
27 Oct@ Plymouth Parkway0–1L
24 Oct@ Redditch United2–2D
20 Octvs Barrow0–2L
17 Oct@ Barrow0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Malvern Town – last 6

WLLWWL
7 Novvs Havant & Wville1–0W
31 Oct@ Sholing2–4L
20 Oct@ Uxbridge0–3L
17 Octvs Frome Town2–0W
13 Octvs Yate Town3–2W
10 Oct@ Basingstoke Town1–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Sep 2026Malvern Town v Gloucester City5–2
Gloucester City vs Malvern Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uxbridge161132+1936
2Poole Town161024+1132
3Hanworth Villa16943+1331
4Plymouth Parkway15924+1329
5Chertsey Town16853+1029
6Bath City16925+629
7Chichester City17917+228
8Gosport Borough16736+324
9Wimborne Town13643+1322
10Taunton Town14716+922
11Frome Town15555+320
12Berkhamsted14536-218
13Yate Town16466-818
14Sholing14455-217
15Hanwell Town16457-417
16Basingstoke Town16448-716
17Chippenham Town16448-1216
18Evesham United175111-1616
19Gloucester City14365-315
20Bracknell Town174310-1815
21Malvern Town164210-1714
22Havant & Wville163310-1312

More Non League Premier Southern South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?

Our pick is Gloucester City to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?

On our numbers Gloucester City have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malvern Town 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?

Our predicted score is Gloucester City 2–1 Malvern Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Gloucester City vs Malvern Town?

Gloucester City vs Malvern Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.