La Luz 40%Draw 28%Fenix 32%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.05
65%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Luz to win ✓40% · @2.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.43
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.44
La Luz vs Fenix prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Segunda División action on Wednesday 11 November: La Luz take on Fenix from 20:30 WAT. La Luz sit 5th with 37 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Fenix are 12th on 31 (in the bottom three).
Form guide
La Luz – form over the last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Rentistas 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.
Fenix – form over the last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Cerrito 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
On form, La Luz have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 8 Aug 2026, finished Fenix 0–0 La Luz.
Goals outlook
Our model projects La Luz 1.2 – 1.1 Fenix in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: La Luz 40% · draw 28% · Fenix 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.87.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: La Luz 1–1 Fenix. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
La Luz40%fair 2.48 · @2.57
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.39
Fenix32%fair 3.10 · @3.18
2.27Expected goals
1.21La Luz xG
1.05Fenix xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: La Luz 1.2 – 1.1 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win La Luz vs Fenix?
On our numbers La Luz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fenix 32%.
How many goals will there be in La Luz vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Luz vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is La Luz 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is La Luz vs Fenix?
La Luz vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
