Value bet: Atletico Nacional to win @ 3.02 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✗40% · @3.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional in the Copa Colombia – Wednesday 11 November, 02:30 WAT, Estadio Palogrande.
Form guide
Once Caldas – form over the last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Águilas Doradas 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Atletico Nacional – form over the last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Deportivo Pereira 4–3 at home. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Once Caldas 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Once Caldas 1.2 – 1.3 Atletico Nacional in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Once Caldas 35% · draw 24% · Atletico Nacional 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.79.
Value angle: Atletico Nacional to win at 3.02 – we make it 40%, the price implies 33%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Once Caldas35%fair 2.82 · @2.44
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Atletico Nacional40%fair 2.48 · @3.02
2.54Expected goals
1.22Once Caldas xG
1.32Atletico Nacional xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.2 – 1.3 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Nacional 40%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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