Wed 11 Nov

Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia: numbers & prediction

J League Cup · Japan · Noevir Stadium
0–1
FT
Vissel Kobe 34%Draw 18%Machida Zelvia 48% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.44
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 2.80 – our chance 48% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓48% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Vissel Kobe host Machida Zelvia in the J League Cup on Wednesday 11 November, kicking off at 11:00 WAT at Noevir Stadium.

Form guide

Vissel Kobe – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Urawa 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.

Machida Zelvia – form over the last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 Oct 2026, finished Vissel Kobe 0–0 Machida Zelvia.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Vissel Kobe 1.1 – 1.4 Machida Zelvia in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Vissel Kobe 34% · draw 18% · Machida Zelvia 48%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Machida Zelvia to win at 2.80 – we make it 48%, the price implies 36%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Vissel Kobe34%fair 2.94 · @2.25
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia48%fair 2.07 · @2.80
2.57Expected goals
1.13Vissel Kobe xG
1.44Machida Zelvia xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.1 – 1.4 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win ✓48%2.072.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.30 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.941.73
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapVissel Kobe +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Vissel Kobe – last 6

DWWWDL
8 Novvs Urawa2–2D
3 Novvs Ratchaburi3–2W
31 Octvs Nagoya Grampus3–1W
27 Oct@ Daejeon Citizen1–0W
24 Octvs Machida Zelvia0–0D
21 Oct@ Kawasaki Frontale1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Machida Zelvia – last 6

DWDWDW
8 Novvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0D
5 Novvs Shanghai Shenhua2–1W
1 Novvs Gamba Osaka0–0D
29 Oct@ Shanghai Shenhua1–0W
24 Oct@ Vissel Kobe0–0D
21 Oct@ Shimizu S-pulse5–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Oct 2026Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia0–0
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagoya Grampus6501+615
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima6303+59
3Yokohama FC6204-36
4Vissel Kobe6204-86

More J League Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Machida Zelvia 48%.

How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.