Wed 11 Nov

Ivory Coast v Gambia: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade de la Paix
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Gambia

WWLL
Ivory Coast 74%Draw 16%Gambia 10% Expected goals 2.35 – 0.72
64%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.39

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultIvory Coast to win74% · @1.18
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010% · fair 9.93

Ivory Coast vs Gambia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification action on Thursday 12 November: Ivory Coast take on Gambia at Stade de la Paix from 20:00 WAT. Ivory Coast sit 2nd with 12 points from 6 games, while Gambia are 3rd on 8.

Form guide

Ivory Coast – form over the last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Cameroon 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Gambia – form over the last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Ghana 4–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ivory Coast 2.4 – 0.7 Gambia in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ivory Coast 74% · draw 16% · Gambia 10%.
  • Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.50.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Ivory Coast 2–0 Gambia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ivory Coast74%fair 1.35 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @6.20
Gambia10%fair 10.26 · @14.60
3.07Expected goals
2.35Ivory Coast xG
0.72Gambia xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ivory Coast 2.4 – 0.7 Gambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIvory Coast to win74%1.351.18
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw90%1.111.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.50
Draw no betIvory Coast (draw no bet)88%1.13–
Asian handicapIvory Coast -1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.261.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.741.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.561.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.241.11
First team to scoreIvory Coast to score first73%1.37–
Half-time resultIvory Coast ahead at half-time54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ivory Coast / FT Ivory Coast50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010%9.93–

Recent results

Ivory Coast – last 6

LWWLWL
3 Octvs Cameroon0–1L
29 Sep@ Somalia2–0W
24 Sepvs Ghana2–0W
30 Junvs Norway1–2L
25 Jun@ Curaçao2–0W
20 Jun@ Germany1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gambia – last 4

WWLL
29 Sep@ Ghana4–2W
25 Sepvs Somalia2–1W
29 May@ Iran1–3L
31 Mar@ Senegal1–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ivory Coast and Gambia.

Ivory Coast vs Gambia head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros6330+312
2Tunisia6312+110
3Gambia622208
4Madagascar6024-42

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

On our numbers Ivory Coast have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Gambia 10%.

How many goals will there be in Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Our predicted score is Ivory Coast 2–0 Gambia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Ivory Coast vs Gambia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Paix.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.