Guinea v Eritrea Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuinea to win74% · @1.12

Double chanceGuinea or draw92% · @1.02

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.46

GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.13

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–011% · fair 9.40

Guinea vs Eritrea prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Guinea v Eritrea in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – Thursday 12 November, 17:00 WAT, Stade du 28 Septembre.

Form guide

Guinea – form over the last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Kenya 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Eritrea – form over the last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to South Africa 0–5 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.

On form, Eritrea have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Guinea 2.3 – 0.6 Eritrea in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 57% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Guinea 74% · draw 18% · Eritrea 8%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.46.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: Guinea 2–0 Eritrea. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Guinea74%fair 1.36 · @1.12

Draw18%fair 5.46 · @7.20

Eritrea8%fair 12.35 · @17.50

2.90Expected goals

2.26Guinea xG

0.64Eritrea xG

47%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%

1–012%

3–011%

2–19%

1–18%

3–17%

From our goals model: Guinea 2.3 – 0.6 Eritrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guinea to win	74%	1.36	1.12
Double chance	Guinea or draw	92%	1.09	1.02
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	53%	1.89	1.46
Draw no bet	Guinea (draw no bet)	90%	1.11	–
Asian handicap	Guinea -1 (Asian handicap)	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26	1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.74	1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.56	1.52
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	80%	1.24	1.16
First team to score	Guinea to score first	74%	1.36	–
Half-time result	Guinea ahead at half-time	53%	1.87	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guinea / FT Guinea	50%	2.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0	11%	9.40	–

Guinea – last 5

WLLLD

1 Oct	vs Kenya	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ South Africa	1–2	L
4 Jun	@ Northern Ireland	0–1	L
31 Mar	vs Benin	0–1	L
27 Mar	vs Togo	2–2	D

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Eritrea – last 4

LDWW

30 Sep	vs South Africa	0–5	L
26 Sep	@ Kenya	1–1	D
31 Mar	@ Eswatini	2–1	W
25 Mar	vs Eswatini	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	6	4	0	2	+4	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	+4	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Team

Pts

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guinea vs Eritrea?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Guinea vs Eritrea?

On our numbers Guinea have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Eritrea 8%.

How many goals will there be in Guinea vs Eritrea?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guinea vs Eritrea?

Our predicted score is Guinea 2–0 Eritrea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Guinea vs Eritrea?

Guinea vs Eritrea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 28 Septembre.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guinea v Eritrea: numbers & prediction