Ghana v Somalia Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGhana to win76% · @1.05

Double chanceGhana or draw94% · @1.01

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.30

GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.10

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012% · fair 8.56

Ghana vs Somalia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Ghana host Somalia in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Thursday 12 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Essipong Stadium.

Form guide

Ghana – form over the last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Gambia 2–4 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Somalia – form over the last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Ivory Coast 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ghana 2.3 – 0.6 Somalia in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 59% for over 2.5, 46% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Ghana 76% · draw 18% · Somalia 6%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.30.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Ghana 2–0 Somalia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ghana76%fair 1.32 · @1.05

Draw18%fair 5.56 · @10.20

Somalia6%fair 16.10 · @26.00

2.85Expected goals

2.30Ghana xG

0.55Somalia xG

46%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%

1–013%

3–012%

2–18%

1–17%

4–07%

From our goals model: Ghana 2.3 – 0.6 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ghana to win	76%	1.32	1.05
Double chance	Ghana or draw	94%	1.07	1.01
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	54%	1.84	1.30
Draw no bet	Ghana (draw no bet)	92%	1.08	–
Asian handicap	Ghana -1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25	1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.70	1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	62%	1.61	1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	78%	1.27	1.24
First team to score	Ghana to score first	76%	1.32	–
Half-time result	Ghana ahead at half-time	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ghana / FT Ghana	52%	1.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0	12%	8.56	–

Ghana – last 6

LLLLDW

29 Sep	vs Gambia	2–4	L
24 Sep	@ Ivory Coast	0–2	L
4 Jul	@ Colombia	0–1	L
27 Jun	@ Croatia	1–2	L
23 Jun	@ England	0–0	D
18 Jun	vs Panama	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Somalia – last 4

LLDD

29 Sep	vs Ivory Coast	0–2	L
25 Sep	@ Gambia	1–2	L
31 Mar	@ Mauritius	0–0	D
27 Mar	vs Mauritius	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

25%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	-2	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	+1	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	-4	3

Team

Pts

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ghana vs Somalia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Ghana vs Somalia?

On our numbers Ghana have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Somalia 6%.

How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Somalia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Somalia?

Our predicted score is Ghana 2–0 Somalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ghana vs Somalia?

Ghana vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Essipong Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ghana v Somalia: numbers & prediction