Wed 11 Nov

Congo DR v Sierra Leone: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade des Martyrs

Congo DR

DLWWL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Sierra Leone

LLLW
Congo DR 71%Draw 17%Sierra Leone 12% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.65
74%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.24

8/10Rating
1.24Odds

Picks by market

ResultCongo DR to win71% · @1.20
Double chanceCongo DR or draw88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010% · fair 10.38

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Congo DR host Sierra Leone in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Thursday 12 November, kicking off at 17:00 WAT at Stade des Martyrs. Congo DR sit 1st with 12 points from 6 games, while Sierra Leone are 3rd on 5.

Form guide

Congo DR – form over the last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Uganda 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.

Sierra Leone – form over the last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Equatorial Guinea 0–1 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.

On form, Congo DR have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Congo DR 2.1 – 0.7 Sierra Leone in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Congo DR 71% · draw 17% · Sierra Leone 12%.
  • Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.39.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Congo DR 2–0 Sierra Leone. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Congo DR71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @5.75
Sierra Leone12%fair 8.61 · @14.20
2.71Expected goals
2.06Congo DR xG
0.65Sierra Leone xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Congo DR 2.1 – 0.7 Sierra Leone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCongo DR to win71%1.411.20
Double chanceCongo DR or draw88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.39
Draw no betCongo DR (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapCongo DR -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.981.86
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.171.07
First team to scoreCongo DR to score first71%1.41–
Half-time resultCongo DR ahead at half-time50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Congo DR / FT Congo DR46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010%10.38–

Recent results

Congo DR – last 6

DLWWLW
5 Oct@ Uganda1–1D
2 Octvs Uganda0–2L
28 Sep@ Zimbabwe2–1W
24 Sepvs Equatorial Guinea2–0W
1 Jul@ England1–2L
28 Junvs Uzbekistan3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sierra Leone – last 4

LLLW
28 Sep@ Equatorial Guinea0–1L
24 Sepvs Zimbabwe2–3L
9 Jun@ Liberia1–3L
6 Junvs Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Congo DR and Sierra Leone.

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia6411+313
2Ivory Coast6402+912
3Sierra Leone6123-55
4Chad6033-73

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Ghana Somalia 176%1.05X18%10.2026%26.00 2.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.65
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 144%2.05X24%3.06233%3.77 1.3–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.48
Guinea Eritrea 174%1.12X18%7.2028%17.50 2.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.52
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 126%3.11X24%3.06251%2.32 0.9–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41
Benin Central African Republic 161%1.56X20%3.65219%6.09 1.6–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.38
Cameroon Namibia 170%1.24X19%5.05211%13.30 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20
Ivory Coast Gambia 174%1.18X16%6.20210%14.60 2.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.39
Senegal Sudan 176%1.07X17%8.9027%24.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

On our numbers Congo DR have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sierra Leone 12%.

How many goals will there be in Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Our predicted score is Congo DR 2–0 Sierra Leone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade des Martyrs.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.