Montenegro v Latvia Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMontenegro to win68% · @1.28

Double chanceMontenegro or draw88% · @1.04

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09% · fair 11.10

Montenegro vs Latvia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Montenegro host Latvia in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT at Gradski Stadion. Montenegro sit 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Latvia are 4th on 1.

Form guide

Montenegro – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Armenia 0–0 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.

Latvia – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Cyprus 1–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

On form, Montenegro have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Latvia 1–2 Montenegro.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Montenegro 2.0 – 0.7 Latvia in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Montenegro 68% · draw 21% · Latvia 12%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.53.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Montenegro 2–0 Latvia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Montenegro68%fair 1.48 · @1.28

Draw21%fair 4.85 · @5.50

Latvia12%fair 8.52 · @9.50

2.63Expected goals

1.96Montenegro xG

0.67Latvia xG

50%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

2–014%

1–19%

2–19%

3–09%

0–07%

From our goals model: Montenegro 2.0 – 0.7 Latvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Montenegro to win	68%	1.48	1.28
Double chance	Montenegro or draw	88%	1.13	1.04
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	50%	1.99	1.53
Draw no bet	Montenegro (draw no bet)	85%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Montenegro -0.5 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.33	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.94	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	70%	1.44	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Montenegro to score first	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Montenegro ahead at half-time	48%	2.09	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Montenegro / FT Montenegro	44%	2.29	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0	9%	11.10	–

Montenegro – last 6

DWWWDW

5 Oct	vs Armenia	0–0	D
2 Oct	@ Latvia	2–1	W
28 Sep	@ Armenia	3–2	W
25 Sep	vs Cyprus	2–1	W
5 Jun	@ Slovakia	2–2	D
1 Jun	@ Bulgaria	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Latvia – last 6

LLDLLW

5 Oct	@ Cyprus	1–2	L
2 Oct	vs Montenegro	1–2	L
28 Sep	vs Cyprus	0–0	D
25 Sep	@ Armenia	0–2	L
9 Jun	vs Faroe Islands	0–1	L
31 Mar	vs Gibraltar	1–0	W

0.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Cyprus	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Armenia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
4	Latvia	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Team

Pts

-1

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montenegro vs Latvia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Montenegro vs Latvia?

On our numbers Montenegro have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Latvia 12%.

How many goals will there be in Montenegro vs Latvia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montenegro vs Latvia?

Our predicted score is Montenegro 2–0 Latvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Montenegro vs Latvia?

Montenegro vs Latvia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Montenegro v Latvia: numbers & prediction