Albania v Finland: numbers & prediction

Albania vs Finland prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Albania v Finland in the UEFA Nations League – Thursday 12 November, 20:45 WAT, Arena Kombëtare. Albania sit 1st with 9 points from 4 games, while Finland are 3rd on 7. The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Albania – form over the last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat San Marino 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game.

Finland – form over the last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Belarus 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They score 1.7 and concede 1.3 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 3 Oct 2026, finished Finland 2–1 Albania.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Albania 1.6 – 0.9 Finland in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Albania 56% · draw 23% · Finland 21%.
• Safer play: Albania or draw (79%) at 1.22.
• Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
• Value angle: Albania to win at 1.95 – we make it 56%, the price implies 51%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Albania or draw, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Albania 1–0 Finland. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.