Value bet: Cyprus to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultArmenia to win42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.35
Armenia vs Cyprus prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Armenia v Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League – Thursday 12 November, 18:00 WAT, Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Armenia sit 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Cyprus are 2nd on 7. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Armenia – form over the last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Montenegro 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.
Cyprus – form over the last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Latvia 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Cyprus have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Cyprus 2–0 Armenia.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Armenia 1.2 – 1.1 Cyprus in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Armenia 42% · draw 23% · Cyprus 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Cyprus to win at 3.25 – we make it 36%, the price implies 31%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Armenia 1–1 Cyprus. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Armenia42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Cyprus36%fair 2.80 · @3.25
2.34Expected goals
1.23Armenia xG
1.11Cyprus xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Armenia 1.2 – 1.1 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?
On our numbers Armenia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cyprus 36%.
How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Cyprus?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Armenia vs Cyprus?
Our predicted score is Armenia 1–1 Cyprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Armenia vs Cyprus?
Armenia vs Cyprus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.