Wed 11 Nov

Armenia v Cyprus: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Armenia

DLLWD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Cyprus

WWDLW
Armenia 42%Draw 23%Cyprus 36% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.11
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Cyprus to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultArmenia to win42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.35

Armenia vs Cyprus prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Armenia v Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League – Thursday 12 November, 18:00 WAT, Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Armenia sit 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Cyprus are 2nd on 7. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Armenia – form over the last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Montenegro 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Cyprus – form over the last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Latvia 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Cyprus have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Cyprus 2–0 Armenia.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Armenia 1.2 – 1.1 Cyprus in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Armenia 42% · draw 23% · Cyprus 36%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
  • Value angle: Cyprus to win at 3.25 – we make it 36%, the price implies 31%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Armenia 1–1 Cyprus. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Armenia42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Cyprus36%fair 2.80 · @3.25
2.34Expected goals
1.23Armenia xG
1.11Cyprus xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Armenia 1.2 – 1.1 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArmenia to win42%2.392.30
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score50%1.981.83
Draw no betArmenia (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapCyprus +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.781.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.131.08
First team to scoreArmenia to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Armenia / FT Armenia22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.35–

Recent results

Armenia – last 6

DLLWDD
5 Oct@ Montenegro0–0D
2 Oct@ Cyprus0–2L
28 Sepvs Montenegro2–3L
25 Sepvs Latvia2–0W
9 Junvs Moldova1–1D
6 Junvs Kazakhstan1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Cyprus – last 6

WWDLWD
5 Octvs Latvia2–1W
2 Octvs Armenia2–0W
28 Sep@ Latvia0–0D
25 Sep@ Montenegro1–2L
7 Jun@ Liechtenstein2–0W
4 Jun@ Slovenia1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Cyprus v Armenia2–0
Armenia vs Cyprus head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro4310+310
2Cyprus4211+27
3Armenia4112-14
4Latvia4013-41

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Armenia vs Cyprus?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?

On our numbers Armenia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cyprus 36%.

How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Cyprus?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Armenia vs Cyprus?

Our predicted score is Armenia 1–1 Cyprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Armenia vs Cyprus?

Armenia vs Cyprus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.