Wed 11 Nov

Türkiye v Belgium: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Gürsel Aksel Stadium
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Belgium

LWLWL
Türkiye 22%Draw 19%Belgium 59% Expected goals 1.11 – 2.01
59%
ZoraTips pick

Belgium to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultBelgium to win59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.10

Türkiye vs Belgium prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Nations League action on Thursday 12 November: Türkiye take on Belgium at Gürsel Aksel Stadium from 18:00 WAT. Türkiye sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while Belgium are 3rd on 6.

Form guide

Türkiye – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Italy 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Belgium – form over the last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to France 1–4 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.8 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Belgium have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Belgium 3–0 Türkiye.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Türkiye 1.1 – 2.0 Belgium in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Türkiye 22% · draw 19% · Belgium 59%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Belgium to win, rated at 59% confidence at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.68, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Türkiye 1–2 Belgium. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Türkiye22%fair 4.61 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.10
Belgium59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
3.12Expected goals
1.11Türkiye xG
2.01Belgium xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Türkiye 1.1 – 2.0 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgium to win59%1.681.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.631.50
Draw no betBelgium (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapTürkiye +1.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.631.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.671.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.301.25
First team to scoreBelgium to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultBelgium ahead at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belgium / FT Belgium37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.10–

Recent results

Türkiye – last 6

LLLLWL
5 Oct@ Italy1–3L
2 Oct@ Belgium0–3L
28 Sepvs Italy1–4L
25 Sepvs France0–1L
26 Junvs USA3–2W
20 Junvs Paraguay0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Belgium – last 6

LWLWLW
5 Oct@ France1–4L
2 Octvs Türkiye3–0W
28 Sepvs France0–1L
25 Sep@ Italy2–0W
10 Jul@ Spain1–2L
7 Jul@ USA4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Belgium v Türkiye3–0
Türkiye vs Belgium head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France4310+510
2Italy4211+37
3Belgium4202+16
4Türkiye4004-90

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Our pick is Belgium to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?

On our numbers Türkiye have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Belgium 59%.

How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs Belgium?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Our predicted score is Türkiye 1–2 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Türkiye vs Belgium?

Türkiye vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gürsel Aksel Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.