Wed 11 Nov

San Marino v Belarus: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · San Marino Stadium
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Belarus

WWDLD
San Marino 8%Draw 15%Belarus 78% Expected goals 0.59 – 2.39
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBelarus to win78% · @1.14
Double chanceBelarus or draw92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–312% · fair 8.68

San Marino vs Belarus prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is San Marino v Belarus in the UEFA Nations League – Thursday 12 November, 20:45 WAT, San Marino Stadium. San Marino sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while Belarus are 2nd on 7.

Form guide

San Marino – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Albania 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

Belarus – form over the last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Finland 1–0 at home. They score 1.8 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Belarus have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 3 Oct 2026, finished Belarus 4–0 San Marino.

Goals outlook

Our model projects San Marino 0.6 – 2.4 Belarus in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for over 2.5 goals, 46% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: San Marino 8% · draw 15% · Belarus 78%.
  • Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.33.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: San Marino 0–2 Belarus. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

San Marino8%fair 13.04 · @13.00
Draw15%fair 6.85 · @8.50
Belarus78%fair 1.29 · @1.14
2.99Expected goals
0.59San Marino xG
2.39Belarus xG
46%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–112%
0–312%
1–29%
1–17%
0–47%

From our goals model: San Marino 0.6 – 2.4 Belarus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelarus to win78%1.291.14
Double chanceBelarus or draw92%1.081.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.851.33
Draw no betBelarus (draw no bet)91%1.10–
Asian handicapBelarus -1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.241.17
First team to scoreBelarus to score first76%1.31–
Half-time resultBelarus ahead at half-time56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belarus / FT Belarus53%1.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–312%8.68–

Recent results

San Marino – last 6

LLLLLL
6 Oct@ Albania1–2L
3 Oct@ Belarus0–4L
29 Sepvs Albania0–3L
26 Sepvs Finland0–7L
9 Jun@ Azerbaijan1–2L
5 Junvs Bangladesh1–2L
0.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Belarus – last 6

WWDLDW
6 Octvs Finland1–0W
3 Octvs San Marino4–0W
29 Sep@ Finland0–0D
26 Sep@ Albania0–2L
9 Junvs Burkina Faso2–2D
5 Junvs Syria4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Belarus v San Marino4–0
San Marino vs Belarus head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albania4301+59
2Belarus4211+37
3Finland4211+77
4San Marino4004-150

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Marino vs Belarus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win San Marino vs Belarus?

On our numbers San Marino have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Belarus 78%.

How many goals will there be in San Marino vs Belarus?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Marino vs Belarus?

Our predicted score is San Marino 0–2 Belarus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is San Marino vs Belarus?

San Marino vs Belarus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at San Marino Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.