Finland v San Marino: numbers & prediction

Finland vs San Marino prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Finland v San Marino in the UEFA Nations League – Sunday 15 November, 18:00 WAT, Bolt Arena. Finland sit 3rd with 7 points from 5 games, while San Marino are 4th on 0.

Form guide

Finland – form over the last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Albania 0–2 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.

San Marino – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Belarus 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.

On form, Finland have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 26 Sep 2026, finished San Marino 0–7 Finland.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Finland 3.0 – 0.5 San Marino in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 68% likely and both teams score 41% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Finland 87% · draw 8% · San Marino 5%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Finland or draw, rated at 95% confidence. Predicted score: Finland 2–0 San Marino. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.