Sun 15 Nov

Cyprus v Montenegro: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Alphamega Stadium

Cyprus

DWWDL
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Montenegro

WDWWW
Cyprus 32%Draw 25%Montenegro 42% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.33
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.31

8/10Rating
1.31Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontenegro to win42% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.76

Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Cyprus v Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League – Sunday 15 November, 15:00 WAT, Alphamega Stadium. Cyprus sit 2nd with 8 points from 5 games, while Montenegro are 1st on 13.

Form guide

Cyprus – form over the last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Armenia 1–1 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Montenegro – form over the last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Latvia 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Montenegro have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 25 Sep 2026, finished Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Cyprus 1.2 – 1.3 Montenegro in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Cyprus 32% · draw 25% · Montenegro 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.78.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Cyprus 1–1 Montenegro. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Cyprus32%fair 3.12 · @3.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.35
Montenegro42%fair 2.35 · @2.27
2.50Expected goals
1.17Cyprus xG
1.33Montenegro xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Cyprus 1.2 – 1.3 Montenegro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (ZoraTips)

CyprusMontenegro
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-2%+18%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-4%
Our expected goals here1.221.30

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontenegro to win42%2.352.27
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.341.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.811.78
Draw no betMontenegro (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapCyprus +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.401.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.871.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.12
First team to scoreMontenegro to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montenegro / FT Montenegro23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.76–

Recent results

Cyprus – last 6

DWWDLW
12 Nov@ Armenia1–1D
5 Octvs Latvia2–1W
2 Octvs Armenia2–0W
28 Sep@ Latvia0–0D
25 Sep@ Montenegro1–2L
7 Jun@ Liechtenstein2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Montenegro – last 6

WDWWWD
12 Novvs Latvia2–1W
5 Octvs Armenia0–0D
2 Oct@ Latvia2–1W
28 Sep@ Armenia3–2W
25 Sepvs Cyprus2–1W
5 Jun@ Slovakia2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Sep 2026Montenegro v Cyprus2–1
Cyprus vs Montenegro head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro5410+413
2Cyprus5221+28
3Armenia5122-15
4Latvia5014-51

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Latvia Armenia 129%3.15X26%3.20244%2.37 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25
Belarus Albania 121%4.50X28%3.44251%1.93 0.9–1.3xG X2Albania or draw 79%@1.23
Finland San Marino 178%1.06X14%13.6028%50.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.27
France Türkiye 169%1.25X19%6.85211%11.70 2.2–0.9xG 1France to win 69%@1.25
Belgium Italy 140%2.21X23%3.84237%3.14 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.52
Spain England 154%1.72X22%4.20224%4.70 1.9–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.59
Croatia Czech Republic 157%1.57X21%4.45221%5.92 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cyprus vs Montenegro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win Cyprus vs Montenegro?

On our numbers Cyprus have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montenegro 42%.

How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Montenegro?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cyprus vs Montenegro?

Our predicted score is Cyprus 1–1 Montenegro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cyprus vs Montenegro?

Cyprus vs Montenegro (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.