Wed 11 Nov

France v Türkiye: numbers & prediction

France

WDWWL
Sun 15 Nov 2026
France 75%Draw 19%Türkiye 7% Expected goals 2.50 – 0.70
66%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.32

6/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultFrance to win75% · @1.11
Double chanceFrance or draw93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.20

France vs Türkiye prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Nations League action on Sunday 15 November: France take on Türkiye from 20:45 WAT. France sit 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Türkiye are 4th on 0.

Form guide

France – form over the last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Belgium 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.8 and concede 1.7 per game.

Türkiye – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Italy 1–3 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, France have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 25 Sep 2026, finished Türkiye 0–1 France.

Goals outlook

Our model projects France 2.5 – 0.7 Türkiye in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 66% for over 2.5 goals, 53% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: France 75% · draw 19% · Türkiye 7%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: France 3–0 Türkiye. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

France75%fair 1.34 · @1.11
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @7.70
Türkiye7%fair 15.08 · @15.00
3.20Expected goals
2.50France xG
0.70Türkiye xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%

From our goals model: France 2.5 – 0.7 Türkiye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrance to win75%1.341.11
Double chanceFrance or draw93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.901.93
Draw no betFrance (draw no bet)92%1.09–
Asian handicapFrance -1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals66%1.521.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.781.82
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals75%1.341.28
First team to scoreFrance to score first75%1.34–
Half-time resultFrance ahead at half-time56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT France / FT France53%1.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.20–

Recent results

France – last 6

WDWWLL
5 Octvs Belgium4–1W
2 Octvs Italy1–1D
28 Sep@ Belgium1–0W
25 Sep@ Türkiye1–0W
18 Julvs England4–6L
14 Julvs Spain0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Türkiye – last 6

LLLLWL
5 Oct@ Italy1–3L
2 Oct@ Belgium0–3L
28 Sepvs Italy1–4L
25 Sepvs France0–1L
26 Junvs USA3–2W
20 Junvs Paraguay0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Sep 2026Türkiye v France0–1
France vs Türkiye head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France4310+510
2Italy4211+37
3Belgium4202+16
4Türkiye4004-90

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for France vs Türkiye?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win France vs Türkiye?

On our numbers France have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Türkiye 7%.

How many goals will there be in France vs Türkiye?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for France vs Türkiye?

Our predicted score is France 3–0 Türkiye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is France vs Türkiye?

France vs Türkiye (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.