Spain host England in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT. Spain sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while England are 2nd on 9. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Spain – form over the last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Croatia 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
England – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Czechia 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 3.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Spain have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 26 Sep 2026, finished England 2–3 Spain.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Spain 2.6 – 1.1 England in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 67% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Spain 69% · draw 20% · England 11%.
Safer play: Spain or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.56.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Spain to win, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.46, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Spain 2–1 England. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Spain69%fair 1.46 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.56
England11%fair 8.74 · @5.36
3.69Expected goals
2.62Spain xG
1.07England xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Spain 2.6 – 1.1 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Spain to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Spain vs England?
On our numbers Spain have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and England 11%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs England?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs England?
Our predicted score is Spain 2–1 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Spain vs England?
Spain vs England (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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