Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCroatia to win70% · @1.33
Double chanceCroatia or draw87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.43
Croatia vs Czechia prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Croatia v Czechia in the UEFA Nations League – Sunday 15 November, 20:45 WAT. Croatia sit 3rd with 3 points from 4 games, while Czechia are 4th on 0. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Croatia – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Spain 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.8 per game.
Czechia – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to England 0–3 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.
On form, Croatia have the edge: 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 26 Sep 2026, finished Czechia 1–2 Croatia.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Croatia 2.4 – 0.9 Czechia in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Croatia 70% · draw 16% · Czechia 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.87 – we make it 59%, the price implies 53%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Croatia to win, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Croatia 2–0 Czechia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Croatia70%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @4.93
Czechia13%fair 7.55 · @7.60
3.34Expected goals
2.40Croatia xG
0.93Czechia xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Croatia 2.4 – 0.9 Czechia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Croatia to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Croatia vs Czechia?
On our numbers Croatia have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Czechia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Czechia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Czechia?
Our predicted score is Croatia 2–0 Czechia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Croatia vs Czechia?
Croatia vs Czechia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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