Croatia v Czech Republic: numbers & prediction

Croatia vs Czech Republic prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Croatia v Czech Republic in the UEFA Nations League – Sunday 15 November, 20:45 WAT, Opus Arena. Croatia sit 3rd with 3 points from 4 games, while Czech Republic are 4th on 0. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Croatia – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Spain 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.8 per game.

Czech Republic – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to England 0–3 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

On form, Croatia have the edge: 1.0 points a game against 0.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 26 Sep 2026, finished Czechia 1–2 Croatia.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Croatia 2.4 – 0.9 Czech Republic in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Croatia 70% · draw 16% · Czech Republic 13%.
• Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.87.
• Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.87 – we make it 59%, the price implies 53%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Croatia to win, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Croatia 2–0 Czech Republic. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.