Wed 11 Nov

Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Sweden

WDWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Bosnia & Herzegovina

WDWDL
Sweden 64%Draw 21%Bosnia & Herzegovina 14% Expected goals 1.96 – 0.79
66%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSweden to win64% · @1.50
Double chanceSweden or draw86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.30

Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Sweden host Bosnia & Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT. Sweden sit 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd on 8. The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Sweden – form over the last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Romania 1–0 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.

Bosnia & Herzegovina – form over the last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Poland 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sweden 2.0 – 0.8 Bosnia & Herzegovina in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Sweden 64% · draw 21% · Bosnia & Herzegovina 14%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sweden 1–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Sweden64%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @4.20
Bosnia & Herzegovina14%fair 7.13 · @6.00
2.75Expected goals
1.96Sweden xG
0.79Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: Sweden 2.0 – 0.8 Bosnia & Herzegovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSweden to win64%1.551.50
Double chanceSweden or draw86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.821.67
Draw no betSweden (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapSweden -0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.801.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.511.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.221.20
First team to scoreSweden to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultSweden ahead at half-time46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sweden / FT Sweden41%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.30–

Recent results

Sweden – last 6

WDWWLD
5 Oct@ Romania1–0W
2 Oct@ Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1D
28 Sepvs Poland3–1W
25 Sepvs Romania2–1W
30 Jun@ France0–3L
26 Jun@ Japan1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6

WDWDLW
5 Octvs Poland1–0W
2 Octvs Sweden1–1D
28 Sep@ Romania4–2W
25 Sep@ Poland0–0D
2 Jul@ USA0–2L
24 Junvs Qatar3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina v Sweden1–1
Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden4310+410
2Bosnia & Herzegovina4220+38
3Poland4112+34
4Romania4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Kosovo Israel 163%1.85X22%3.40214%4.20 1.7–0.7xG 1XKosovo or draw 86%@1.22
Norway Wales 173%1.22X16%7.00212%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Norway to win 73%@1.22
Georgia Hungary 130%3.30X24%3.00246%2.30 0.7–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.53
Portugal Denmark 163%1.48X22%4.75216%5.50 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.48
Northern Ireland Ukraine 147%2.30X24%2.90229%3.00 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.53
Austria Rep. Of Ireland 163%1.57X23%4.00214%5.50 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25
Romania Poland 119%3.90X21%3.50259%1.90 1.1–2.0xG X2Poland or draw 81%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

On our numbers Sweden have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 14%.

How many goals will there be in Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our predicted score is Sweden 1–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.