Wed 11 Nov

Portugal v Denmark: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Portugal

WWWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Denmark

WLWLD
Portugal 63%Draw 22%Denmark 16% Expected goals 2.25 – 1.08
64%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultPortugal to win63% · @1.48
Double chancePortugal or draw84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.22

Portugal vs Denmark prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Nations League action on Saturday 14 November: Portugal take on Denmark from 20:45 WAT. Portugal sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while Denmark are 2nd on 6.

Form guide

Portugal – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Norway 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.8 and concede 1.0 per game.

Denmark – form over the last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Wales 1–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Portugal have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Oct 2026, finished Denmark 2–4 Portugal.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Portugal 2.2 – 1.1 Denmark in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Portugal 63% · draw 22% · Denmark 16%.
  • Safer play: Portugal or draw (84%) at 1.14.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 2.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Portugal 2–1 Denmark. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Portugal63%fair 1.60 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.75
Denmark16%fair 6.33 · @5.50
3.33Expected goals
2.25Portugal xG
1.08Denmark xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Portugal 2.2 – 1.1 Denmark expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortugal to win63%1.601.48
Double chancePortugal or draw84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.681.62
Draw no betPortugal (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapPortugal -0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.201.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.561.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.741.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals75%1.331.25
First team to scorePortugal to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultPortugal ahead at half-time47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portugal / FT Portugal42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.22–

Recent results

Portugal – last 6

WWWWLW
4 Octvs Norway2–1W
1 Oct@ Denmark4–2W
27 Sep@ Norway2–1W
24 Sepvs Wales1–0W
6 Julvs Spain0–1L
3 Julvs Croatia2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Denmark – last 6

WLWLDW
4 Oct@ Wales1–0W
1 Octvs Portugal2–4L
27 Sepvs Wales2–0W
24 Sep@ Norway2–3L
3 Jun@ Congo DR0–0D
26 Marvs FYR Macedonia4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Denmark v Portugal2–4
Portugal vs Denmark head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal4400+512
2Denmark420206
3Wales4103-33
4Norway4103-23

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Kosovo Israel 163%1.85X22%3.40214%4.20 1.7–0.7xG 1XKosovo or draw 86%@1.22
Norway Wales 173%1.22X16%7.00212%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Norway to win 73%@1.22
Georgia Hungary 130%3.30X24%3.00246%2.30 0.7–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.53
Northern Ireland Ukraine 147%2.30X24%2.90229%3.00 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.53
Austria Rep. Of Ireland 163%1.57X23%4.00214%5.50 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25
Romania Poland 119%3.90X21%3.50259%1.90 1.1–2.0xG X2Poland or draw 81%@1.25
Sweden Bosnia & Herzegovina 164%1.50X21%4.20214%6.00 2.0–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portugal vs Denmark?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Portugal vs Denmark?

On our numbers Portugal have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Denmark 16%.

How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Denmark?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Denmark?

Our predicted score is Portugal 2–1 Denmark, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal vs Denmark (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.