Wed 11 Nov

Kosovo v Israel: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Kosovo

DDLWW
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Israel

DDLLW
Kosovo 63%Draw 22%Israel 14% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.66
86%
ZoraTips pick

Kosovo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Kosovo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultKosovo to win63% · @1.85
Double chanceKosovo or draw86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.11

Kosovo vs Israel prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Kosovo host Israel in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 15:00 WAT. Kosovo sit 2nd with 5 points from 4 games, while Israel are 4th on 2. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Kosovo – form over the last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Austria 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Israel – form over the last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Oct 2026, finished Israel 0–0 Kosovo.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Kosovo 1.7 – 0.7 Israel in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Kosovo 63% · draw 22% · Israel 14%.
  • Safer play: Kosovo or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Kosovo to win at 1.85 – we make it 63%, the price implies 54%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Kosovo or draw, rated at 86% confidence at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Kosovo 1–0 Israel. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Kosovo63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Israel14%fair 7.00 · @4.20
2.37Expected goals
1.71Kosovo xG
0.66Israel xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Kosovo 1.7 – 0.7 Israel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKosovo to win63%1.581.85 ▲
Double chanceKosovo or draw86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.941.73
Draw no betKosovo (draw no bet)82%1.23–
Asian handicapKosovo -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.851.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.131.11
First team to scoreKosovo to score first66%1.53–
Half-time resultKosovo ahead at half-time44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kosovo / FT Kosovo39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.11–

Recent results

Kosovo – last 6

DDLWWL
4 Octvs Austria1–1D
1 Oct@ Israel0–0D
27 Sep@ Austria1–3L
24 Sepvs Rep. Of Ireland1–0W
7 Junvs Andorra3–0W
31 May@ Czech Republic1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Israel – last 6

DDLLWD
4 Oct@ Rep. Of Ireland1–1D
1 Octvs Kosovo0–0D
27 Sepvs Rep. Of Ireland0–3L
24 Sep@ Austria1–3L
3 Jun@ Albania1–0W
26 Mar@ Georgia2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Israel v Kosovo0–0
Kosovo vs Israel head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria4220+48
2Kosovo4121-15
3Rep. Of Ireland4121+25
4Israel4022-52

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Norway Wales 173%1.22X16%7.00212%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Norway to win 73%@1.22
Georgia Hungary 130%3.30X24%3.00246%2.30 0.7–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.53
Portugal Denmark 163%1.48X22%4.75216%5.50 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.48
Northern Ireland Ukraine 147%2.30X24%2.90229%3.00 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.53
Austria Rep. Of Ireland 163%1.57X23%4.00214%5.50 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25
Romania Poland 119%3.90X21%3.50259%1.90 1.1–2.0xG X2Poland or draw 81%@1.25
Sweden Bosnia & Herzegovina 164%1.50X21%4.20214%6.00 2.0–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kosovo vs Israel?

Our pick is Kosovo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kosovo vs Israel?

On our numbers Kosovo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Israel 14%.

How many goals will there be in Kosovo vs Israel?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kosovo vs Israel?

Our predicted score is Kosovo 1–0 Israel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kosovo vs Israel?

Kosovo vs Israel (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.