Norway v Wales: numbers & prediction

Norway vs Wales prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Nations League action on Saturday 14 November: Norway take on Wales at Ullevaal Stadion from 18:00 WAT. Norway sit 4th with 3 points from 4 games, while Wales are 3rd on 3. The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Norway – form over the last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Portugal 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.

Wales – form over the last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Denmark 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Norway have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Oct 2026, finished Wales 2–1 Norway.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Norway 2.3 – 0.8 Wales in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Norway 73% · draw 16% · Wales 12%.
• Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Norway to win, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Norway 2–0 Wales. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.