Northern Ireland v Ukraine: numbers & prediction

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Northern Ireland v Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League – Saturday 14 November, 20:45 WAT. Northern Ireland sit 1st with 8 points from 4 games, while Ukraine are 3rd on 4.

Form guide

Northern Ireland – form over the last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Georgia 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Ukraine – form over the last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Hungary 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Northern Ireland 1.1 – 0.8 Ukraine in expected goals – roughly 1.9 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Northern Ireland 47% · draw 24% · Ukraine 29%.
• Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.73.
• Value angle: Northern Ireland to win at 2.30 – we make it 47%, the price implies 43%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 2.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Northern Ireland 1–0 Ukraine. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.