UEFA Europa Conference League action on Thursday 5 November: Twente take on Pafos at De Grolsch Veste from 21:00 WAT. Twente sit 3rd with 9 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Pafos are 30th on 1 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Twente – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Excelsior 9–0 on the road. 3.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Pafos – form over the last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Apollon Limassol 2–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.
On form, Twente have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Twente 2.7 – 1.0 Pafos in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Twente 74% · draw 15% · Pafos 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Twente to win, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Twente 2–0 Pafos. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Twente74%fair 1.35 · @1.28
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @6.25
Pafos11%fair 9.05 · @8.50
3.68Expected goals
2.71Twente xG
0.98Pafos xG
59%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Twente 2.7 – 1.0 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Twente (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Twente -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
First team to score
Twente to score first✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Twente – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Nov
@ Excelsior
9–0
W
25 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
DDDDLW
31 Oct
@ Apollon Limassol
2–2
D
26 Oct
@ Nea Salamis
0–0
D
22 Oct
vs Riga
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Apoel Nicosia
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Anorthosis
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Twente and Pafos.
Our pick is Twente to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
On our numbers Twente have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Pafos 11%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs Pafos?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Twente 2–0 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Twente vs Pafos?
Twente vs Pafos (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
