FC Midtjylland v Ajax Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAjax to win ✓42% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.48

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is FC Midtjylland v Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League – Thursday 5 November, 18:45 WAT, MCH Arena. FC Midtjylland sit 34th with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom three), while Ajax are 11th on 6 (in the top half).

Form guide

FC Midtjylland – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat FC Nordsjaelland 3–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.3 per game.

Ajax – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat AZ Alkmaar 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FC Midtjylland 1.7 – 1.8 Ajax in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 66% for over 2.5 goals, 68% for GG.

Betting angles

Match result chances: FC Midtjylland 38% · draw 20% · Ajax 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FC Midtjylland 1–1 Ajax. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FC Midtjylland38%fair 2.65 · @2.62

Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.70

Ajax42%fair 2.39 · @2.45

3.55Expected goals

1.72FC Midtjylland xG

1.82Ajax xG

68%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

1–28%

2–18%

2–27%

0–15%

1–35%

From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 1.7 – 1.8 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ajax to win ✓	42%	2.39	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.26	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	68%	1.46	1.40
Draw no bet	Ajax (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.90	–
Asian handicap	FC Midtjylland +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	54%	1.85	1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	72%	1.38	1.28
First team to score	Ajax to score first	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	36%	2.79	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ajax / FT Ajax ✗	25%	4.03	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.12	–

FC Midtjylland – last 6

WWWLWD

1 Nov	@ FC Nordsjaelland	3–2	W
29 Oct	vs Odense	2–1	W
25 Oct	vs Lyngby	3–2	W
22 Oct	vs St. Truiden	0–1	L
19 Oct	@ Viborg	2–1	W
15 Oct	@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Ajax – last 6

WWWWLD

31 Oct	vs AZ Alkmaar	1–0	W
25 Oct	@ Sparta Rotterdam	2–1	W
22 Oct	vs Atalanta	2–0	W
18 Oct	@ Groningen	5–2	W
15 Oct	@ HNK Hajduk Split	1–2	L
10 Oct	vs NEC Nijmegen	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ajax 42%.

How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 1–1 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Midtjylland v Ajax: numbers & prediction