Aarhus v SC Braga Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSC Braga to win ✗64% · @1.95

Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✓85% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Aarhus vs SC Braga prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Aarhus host SC Braga in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 18:45 WAT at Cepheus Park. Aarhus sit 24th with 2 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while SC Braga are 17th on 4 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Aarhus – form over the last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Brondby 0–2 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

SC Braga – form over the last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Famalicao 3–0 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Aarhus 0.6 – 1.6 SC Braga in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Aarhus 15% · draw 22% · SC Braga 64%.
Safer play: SC Braga or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: SC Braga to win at 1.95 – we make it 64%, the price implies 51%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked SC Braga or draw, rated at 85% confidence at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Aarhus 0–1 SC Braga. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Aarhus15%fair 6.80 · @3.80

Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.50

SC Braga64%fair 1.57 · @1.95

2.19Expected goals

0.58Aarhus xG

1.60SC Braga xG

53%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%

0–214%

0–011%

1–111%

1–28%

0–38%

From our goals model: Aarhus 0.6 – 1.6 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	SC Braga to win ✗	64%	1.57	1.95 ▲
Double chance	SC Braga or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	1.80
Draw no bet	SC Braga (draw no bet)	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	SC Braga -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	69%	1.46	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.31	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.11
First team to score	SC Braga to score first ✗	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga ✗	38%	2.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.88	–

Aarhus – last 6

LWWDDL

1 Nov	@ Brondby	0–2	L
28 Oct	@ Roskilde	2–1	W
25 Oct	vs Viborg	2–1	W
22 Oct	vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1–1	D
18 Oct	@ FC Copenhagen	1–1	D
15 Oct	@ Gent	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

SC Braga – last 6

WDLWLL

1 Nov	vs Famalicao	3–0	W
29 Oct	vs Famalicao	2–2	D
25 Oct	@ Nacional	0–1	L
22 Oct	vs Gent	2–0	W
19 Oct	vs GIL Vicente	1–2	L
15 Oct	@ FC Copenhagen	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aarhus vs SC Braga?

Our pick is SC Braga or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?

On our numbers Aarhus have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Braga 64%.

How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs SC Braga?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs SC Braga?

Our predicted score is Aarhus 0–1 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Aarhus vs SC Braga?

Aarhus vs SC Braga (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Cepheus Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Aarhus v SC Braga: numbers & prediction