Wed 11 Nov

FC Thun v Heart Of Midlothian: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Stockhorn Arena

FC Thun

WLLDL
3–1
FT
FC Thun 52%Draw 21%Heart Of Midlothian 27% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.14
63%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1

Value bet: FC Thun to win @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Thun to win ✓52% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Europa Conference League action on Thursday 5 November: FC Thun take on Heart Of Midlothian at Stockhorn Arena from 18:45 WAT. FC Thun sit 20th with 3 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Heart Of Midlothian are 32nd on 1 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

FC Thun – form over the last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Lausanne 5–4 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 2.3 per game.

Heart Of Midlothian – form over the last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Hibernian 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.3 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FC Thun 1.7 – 1.1 Heart Of Midlothian in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 58% for over 2.5, 65% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: FC Thun 52% · draw 21% · Heart Of Midlothian 27%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
  • Value angle: FC Thun to win at 2.20 – we make it 52%, the price implies 45%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FC Thun52%fair 1.91 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Heart Of Midlothian27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
2.86Expected goals
1.72FC Thun xG
1.14Heart Of Midlothian xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%

From our goals model: FC Thun 1.7 – 1.1 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Thun to win ✓52%1.912.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.44
Draw no betFC Thun (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapHeart Of Midlothian +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
First team to scoreFC Thun to score first ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Thun / FT FC Thun ✓31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

FC Thun – last 6

WLLDLL
1 Nov@ Lausanne5–4W
25 Octvs FC Lugano2–3L
22 Octvs HNK Hajduk Split0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Schaffhausen1–1D
15 Oct@ Twente0–1L
10 Oct@ FC Zurich2–4L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Heart Of Midlothian – last 6

LDWLLD
1 Novvs Hibernian1–2L
28 Octvs Rangers2–2D
25 Oct@ Motherwell2–0W
22 Oct@ Trabzonspor0–2L
18 Oct@ Celtic1–7L
15 Octvs FC Nordsjaelland1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and Heart Of Midlothian.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

On our numbers FC Thun have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Heart Of Midlothian 27%.

How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our predicted score is FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.