Riga host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT at Skonto stadions. Riga sit 19th with 3 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while FK Jablonec are 23rd on 2 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Riga – form over the last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Ogre United 0–0 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 0.8 per game.
FK Jablonec – form over the last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Slavia Praha 0–5 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.0 per game.
On form, Riga have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Riga 1.4 – 1.3 FK Jablonec in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Riga 43% · draw 21% · FK Jablonec 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Riga43%fair 2.34 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
FK Jablonec36%fair 2.76 · @2.80
2.71Expected goals
1.43Riga xG
1.29FK Jablonec xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Riga 1.4 – 1.3 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✗
43%
2.34
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Draw no bet
Riga (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
FK Jablonec +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Riga to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Riga – last 6
DWDWDW
1 Nov
@ Ogre United
0–0
D
26 Oct
@ Grobiņa
5–2
W
22 Oct
@ Pafos
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Super Nova
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Kairat Almaty
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Tukums
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 6
LWDLLW
31 Oct
vs Slavia Praha
0–5
L
25 Oct
@ Hradec Králové
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Brighton
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Plzen
2–3
L
15 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Zbrojovka Brno
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga and FK Jablonec.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Riga have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Jablonec 36%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Riga vs FK Jablonec (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
