Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓71% · @1.42

Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓90% · @1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.60

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT at Olympic Stadium of Athens. Panathinaikos sit 2nd with 9 points from 3 games (in the top four), while CSKA Sofia are 28th on 1 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Panathinaikos – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat AEK Athens FC 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. 2.8 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

CSKA Sofia – form over the last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Slavia Sofia 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Panathinaikos have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 1.8.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Panathinaikos 2.4 – 0.8 CSKA Sofia in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Panathinaikos 71% · draw 19% · CSKA Sofia 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Panathinaikos 2–0 CSKA Sofia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Panathinaikos71%fair 1.41 · @1.42

Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.75

CSKA Sofia10%fair 10.41 · @7.00

3.21Expected goals

2.40Panathinaikos xG

0.82CSKA Sofia xG

53%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%

1–010%

2–19%

3–09%

1–18%

3–18%

From our goals model: Panathinaikos 2.4 – 0.8 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Panathinaikos to win ✓	71%	1.41	1.42
Double chance	Panathinaikos or draw ✓	90%	1.11	1.11
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.90	1.83
Draw no bet	Panathinaikos (draw no bet) ✓	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Panathinaikos -1 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.18
First team to score	Panathinaikos to score first	72%	1.40	–
Half-time result	Panathinaikos ahead at half-time ✗	53%	1.89	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos ✗	49%	2.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.60	–

Panathinaikos – last 6

WWWWWW

1 Nov	vs AEK Athens FC	2–0	W
28 Oct	vs Aris Thessalonikis	2–1	W
25 Oct	@ Volos NFC	1–0	W
22 Oct	@ Kairat Almaty	5–1	W
18 Oct	vs Asteras Tripolis	5–1	W
15 Oct	vs Borac Banja Luka	2–1	W

2.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

CSKA Sofia – last 6

DWDWLW

31 Oct	vs Slavia Sofia	0–0	D
26 Oct	vs Ludogorets	2–0	W
22 Oct	@ FC Nordsjaelland	2–2	D
18 Oct	@ Nesebar	2–0	W
15 Oct	vs Monaco	1–2	L
11 Oct	@ CSKA 1948	3–2	W

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CSKA Sofia 10%.

How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 2–0 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Stadium of Athens.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia: numbers & prediction