Real Sociedad v Lyon Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultReal Sociedad to win ✗64% · @1.65

Double chanceReal Sociedad or draw ✓87% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Europa League action on Thursday 5 November: Real Sociedad take on Lyon at Anoeta Stadium from 18:45 WAT. Real Sociedad sit 20th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Lyon are 13th on 7 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Real Sociedad – form over the last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Athletic Club 1–2 on the road. 3.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Lyon – form over the last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Angers 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

On form, Real Sociedad have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Real Sociedad 2.4 – 1.1 Lyon in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Real Sociedad 64% · draw 22% · Lyon 13%.
Safer play: Real Sociedad or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Real Sociedad to win, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.56, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Real Sociedad 2–1 Lyon. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Real Sociedad64%fair 1.56 · @1.65

Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.10

Lyon13%fair 7.50 · @4.75

3.41Expected goals

2.36Real Sociedad xG

1.06Lyon xG

63%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–09%

1–18%

1–08%

3–18%

3–07%

From our goals model: Real Sociedad 2.4 – 1.1 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Sociedad to win ✗	64%	1.56	1.65 ▲
Double chance	Real Sociedad or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.57
Draw no bet	Real Sociedad (draw no bet)	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Real Sociedad -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	57%	1.75	1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
First team to score	Real Sociedad to score first ✓	67%	1.50	–
Half-time result	Real Sociedad ahead at half-time ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad ✗	44%	2.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.35	–

Real Sociedad – last 6

LWWWDW

1 Nov	@ Athletic Club	1–2	L
25 Oct	vs Levante	2–1	W
22 Oct	@ Lillestrom	6–0	W
18 Oct	@ Malaga	5–2	W
15 Oct	@ Union St. Gilloise	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Deportivo La Coruna	3–2	W

3.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Lyon – last 6

WLLWWL

31 Oct	vs Angers	2–0	W
26 Oct	@ Paris Saint Germain	0–2	L
22 Oct	@ 1899 Hoffenheim	0–3	L
18 Oct	vs Nice	2–1	W
15 Oct	vs Crystal Palace	3–2	W
9 Oct	@ Lens	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Our pick is Real Sociedad to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

On our numbers Real Sociedad have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lyon 13%.

How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Our predicted score is Real Sociedad 2–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Real Sociedad vs Lyon (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Anoeta Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Real Sociedad v Lyon: numbers & prediction