Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Lillestrom to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlzen to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Lillestrom vs Plzen prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Lillestrom v Plzen in the UEFA Europa League – Thursday 5 November, 18:45 WAT, Åråsen Stadion. Lillestrom sit 34th with 1 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Plzen are 30th on 3 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Lillestrom – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Start 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.
Plzen – form over the last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Baník Ostrava 4–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. 2.7 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
On form, Lillestrom have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Lillestrom 1.5 – 1.6 Plzen in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Lillestrom 38% · draw 19% · Plzen 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Lillestrom to win at 2.88 – we make it 38%, the price implies 35%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Lillestrom 1–1 Plzen. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Lillestrom38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.90
Plzen43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
3.15Expected goals
1.52Lillestrom xG
1.64Plzen xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.5 – 1.6 Plzen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plzen to win✓
43%
2.33
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Draw no bet
Plzen (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Lillestrom +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Plzen to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plzen / FT Plzen✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Lillestrom – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Nov
@ Start
1–0
W
28 Oct
vs Sogndal
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Brann
3–2
W
22 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
0–6
L
18 Oct
@ Sandefjord
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ Sparta Praha
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Plzen – last 6
WWLLWL
1 Nov
@ Baník Ostrava
4–0
W
28 Oct
@ Vysočina Jihlava
6–1
W
25 Oct
vs Pardubice
1–2
L
22 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ FK Jablonec
3–2
W
15 Oct
@ Ferencvarosi TC
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Plzen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Plzen?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Plzen 43%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Plzen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–1 Plzen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Lillestrom vs Plzen (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen Stadion.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
