Wed 11 Nov

Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa League · Europe · Lotto Park
2–0
FT
Anderlecht 48%Draw 20%Red Bull Salzburg 31% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.27
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Red Bull Salzburg to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAnderlecht to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League – Thursday 5 November, 18:45 WAT, Lotto Park. Anderlecht sit 15th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Red Bull Salzburg are 26th on 4 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Anderlecht – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat KVC Westerlo 4–1 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.

Red Bull Salzburg – form over the last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Austria Lustenau 5–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.7 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

On form, Red Bull Salzburg have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Anderlecht 1.7 – 1.3 Red Bull Salzburg in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for over 2.5 goals, 62% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Anderlecht 48% · draw 20% · Red Bull Salzburg 31%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
  • Value angle: Red Bull Salzburg to win at 3.50 – we make it 31%, the price implies 29%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Anderlecht 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Anderlecht48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.75
Red Bull Salzburg31%fair 3.20 · @3.50
2.94Expected goals
1.66Anderlecht xG
1.27Red Bull Salzburg xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.7 – 1.3 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAnderlecht to win ✓48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Draw no betAnderlecht (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapRed Bull Salzburg +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
First team to scoreAnderlecht to score first ✓54%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht ✓28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Anderlecht – last 6

WLWLLW
31 Octvs KVC Westerlo4–1W
25 Oct@ Gent0–4L
22 Oct@ Jagiellonia3–0W
18 Oct@ Beerschot VA1–2L
15 Oct@ Dinamo Zagreb0–1L
10 Oct@ Cercle Brugge2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Red Bull Salzburg – last 6

WWWDWL
1 Novvs Austria Lustenau5–1W
28 Oct@ Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz3–2W
25 Oct@ Lask Linz3–1W
22 Oct@ Celje2–2D
18 Octvs SCR Altach3–0W
15 Octvs AC Milan0–4L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Anderlecht and Red Bull Salzburg.

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica4400+1012
2Bournemouth4400+912
3Ferencvarosi TC4400+812
4Union St. Gilloise4310+810
5Juventus4310+710
6Olympiakos Piraeus4310+310
7Bayer Leverkusen4301+79
8Beşiktaş4211+37
9Dinamo Zagreb4211+17
10Levski Sofia4211+17
11Sunderland421107
12NEC Nijmegen4211-17
13Lyon4211-17
14AZ Alkmaar4202+36
15Anderlecht4202+36
16OFI4202+16
17Rennes4130+16
18Omonia Nicosia4202-16
19Torreense4202-26
20Real Sociedad4121+55
21Crystal Palace4121+35
22Sparta Praha411204
231899 Hoffenheim411204
24Sturm Graz4112-34
25Celje4112-44
26Red Bull Salzburg4112-54
27Celta Vigo4103-23
28AC Milan4103-33
29Jagiellonia4103-33
30Plzen4103-43
31Marseille4103-43
32Celtic4103-53
33Hapoel Beer Sheva4013-71
34Lillestrom4013-81
35Lech Poznan4013-101
36Ararat-Armenia4004-100

More UEFA Europa League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

On our numbers Anderlecht have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Red Bull Salzburg 31%.

How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.